FoilFox
Menu
Get the free appOpen Dashboard

Star Wars: Unlimited · Twilight of the Republic · 24 packs per booster display

Twilight of the Republic Booster Display expected value (EV)

Simulated expected value (EV), median booster display outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, and Bayesian chase pull odds for Star Wars: Unlimited - Twilight of the Republic Booster Display (24 packs) vs. its $33.09 reflective market price.

Planning estimate · 24 packs · 940/940 printings priced · USD Browse Twilight of the Republic card values
Yoda — Sensing Darkness Jango Fett — Concealing the Conspiracy Chancellor Palpatine // Darth Sidious — Playing Both Sides

Top chase: Jango Fett — Concealing the Conspiracy ($202.26) · Twilight of the Republic

Twilight of the RepublicClear all
Expected box value (EV)
$54.03Twilight of the Republic · 90% credible mean: $47.07–$69.01
Expected value to box price
163.3%Reflective market: $33.09 (2026-09-29) · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0%
Median box (P50)
$45.71P10–P90 spread: $40.38–$58.26 (5,000 trials)
Chase share of expected value
$9.88 (18.3%)Non-chase floor: $44.15 · P(any chase): 44.8%
Star Wars: Unlimited - Twilight of the Republic Booster Display · Simulated box outcome distribution vs. reflective market price
★ Positive expected value (163.3% of box price)Average box value ($54.03) exceeds the $33.09 reflective market price; a typical (median) box returns $45.71.
Buy box on TCGplayer ($33.09) ↗ Shop packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ FoilFox set card values → Browse set checklist →
80% of simulated boxes land between $40.38 (unlucky P10) and $58.26 (lucky P90) 24 packs per booster display · 940/940 printings priced
P10–P90 spread: $40.38–$58.26 Typical / Median (P50): $45.71 Expected value (Mean): $54.03 Box price: $33.09

Top chase cards in Twilight of the Republic

Click any card for price history & versions · Collector market prices
  1. Yoda — Sensing Darkness Yoda — Sensing Darkness Foil (showcase) · #261 $214.73 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.99/box
  2. Jango Fett — Concealing the Conspiracy Jango Fett — Concealing the Conspiracy Foil (showcase) · #273 $202.26 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.94/box
  3. Chancellor Palpatine // Darth Sidious — Playing Both Sides Chancellor Palpatine // Darth Sidious — Playing Both Sides Foil (showcase) · #274 $169.73 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.79/box
  4. Anakin Skywalker — What it Takes to Win Anakin Skywalker — What it Takes to Win Foil (showcase) · #269 $140.84 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.65/box
  5. General Grievous — General of the Droid Armies General Grievous — General of the Droid Armies Foil (showcase) · #272 $133.48 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.62/box
  6. Captain Rex — Fighting For His Brothers Captain Rex — Fighting For His Brothers Foil (showcase) · #264 $114.88 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.53/box
  7. Maul — A Rival in Darkness Maul — A Rival in Darkness Foil (showcase) · #266 $93.47 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.43/box
  8. Obi-Wan Kenobi — Patient Mentor Obi-Wan Kenobi — Patient Mentor Foil (showcase) · #260 $84.97 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.39/box
  9. Count Dooku — Face of the Confederacy Count Dooku — Face of the Confederacy Foil (showcase) · #262 $81.29 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.38/box
  10. Quinlan Vos — Sticking the Landing Quinlan Vos — Sticking the Landing Foil (showcase) · #275 $76.36 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.35/box

Star Wars: Unlimited - Twilight of the Republic Booster Display · Breakdown by rarity & finish tier

  1. Tier 01 Common Twilight of the Republic · 236.00 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.06Avg / pulled copy 236.00Copies / box 26.3% $14.23 Expected tier contribution
  2. Tier 02 Showcase Leader Twilight of the Republic · 0.0833 expected copies per booster display Chase tier $98.04Avg / pulled copy 0.083Copies / box 15.1% $8.17 Expected tier contribution
  3. Tier 03 Uncommon Twilight of the Republic · 61.20 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.09Avg / pulled copy 61.20Copies / box 10.5% $5.70 Expected tier contribution
  4. Tier 04 Rare Twilight of the Republic · 21.00 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.20Avg / pulled copy 21.00Copies / box 7.7% $4.16 Expected tier contribution
  5. Tier 05 Hyperspace Uncommon Twilight of the Republic · 7.92 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.48Avg / pulled copy 7.92Copies / box 7.1% $3.81 Expected tier contribution
  6. Tier 06 Hyperspace Rare Twilight of the Republic · 2.52 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $1.42Avg / pulled copy 2.52Copies / box 6.6% $3.58 Expected tier contribution
  7. Tier 07 Leader Twilight of the Republic · 19.92 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.16Avg / pulled copy 19.92Copies / box 6.0% $3.25 Expected tier contribution
  8. Tier 08 Legendary Twilight of the Republic · 3.00 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.81Avg / pulled copy 3.00Copies / box 4.5% $2.42 Expected tier contribution
  9. Tier 09 Foil Common Twilight of the Republic · 14.88 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.14Avg / pulled copy 14.88Copies / box 3.8% $2.05 Expected tier contribution
  10. Tier 10 Hyperspace Leader Twilight of the Republic · 4.00 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.32Avg / pulled copy 4.00Copies / box 2.4% $1.29 Expected tier contribution
  11. Tier 11 Hyperspace Legendary Twilight of the Republic · 0.36 expected copies per booster display Chase tier $3.17Avg / pulled copy 0.36Copies / box 2.1% $1.14 Expected tier contribution
  12. Tier 12 Foil Uncommon Twilight of the Republic · 5.76 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.18Avg / pulled copy 5.76Copies / box 2.0% $1.06 Expected tier contribution
  13. Tier 13 Hyperspace Common Twilight of the Republic · 4.00 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.20Avg / pulled copy 4.00Copies / box 1.5% $0.81 Expected tier contribution
  14. Tier 14 Foil Rare Twilight of the Republic · 2.11 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.36Avg / pulled copy 2.11Copies / box 1.4% $0.77 Expected tier contribution
  15. Tier 15 Foil Legendary Twilight of the Republic · 0.29 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $1.98Avg / pulled copy 0.29Copies / box 1.1% $0.57 Expected tier contribution
  16. Tier 16 Hyperspace Foil Rare Twilight of the Republic · 0.12 expected copies per booster display Chase tier $3.42Avg / pulled copy 0.12Copies / box 0.8% $0.41 Expected tier contribution
  17. Tier 17 Hyperspace Foil Uncommon Twilight of the Republic · 0.24 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $1.13Avg / pulled copy 0.24Copies / box 0.5% $0.27 Expected tier contribution
  18. Tier 18 Hyperspace Foil Common Twilight of the Republic · 0.58 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.33Avg / pulled copy 0.58Copies / box 0.4% $0.19 Expected tier contribution
  19. Tier 19 Hyperspace Foil Legendary Twilight of the Republic · 0.0240 expected copies per booster display Chase tier $6.67Avg / pulled copy 0.024Copies / box 0.3% $0.16 Expected tier contribution

Twilight of the Republic · Top chase & value cards in this box

  1. Rank 01 Yoda — Sensing Darkness Twilight of the Republic · #261 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $214.73 $0.99 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $214.73
  2. Rank 02 Jango Fett — Concealing the Conspiracy Twilight of the Republic · #273 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $202.26 $0.94 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $202.26
  3. Rank 03 Chancellor Palpatine // Darth Sidious — Playing Both Sides Twilight of the Republic · #274 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $169.73 $0.79 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $169.73
  4. Rank 04 Anakin Skywalker — What it Takes to Win Twilight of the Republic · #269 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $140.84 $0.65 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $140.84
  5. Rank 05 General Grievous — General of the Droid Armies Twilight of the Republic · #272 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $133.48 $0.62 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $133.48
  6. Rank 06 Captain Rex — Fighting For His Brothers Twilight of the Republic · #264 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $114.88 $0.53 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $114.88
  7. Rank 07 Maul — A Rival in Darkness Twilight of the Republic · #266 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $93.47 $0.43 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $93.47
  8. Rank 08 Obi-Wan Kenobi — Patient Mentor Twilight of the Republic · #260 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $84.97 $0.39 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $84.97
  9. Rank 09 Count Dooku — Face of the Confederacy Twilight of the Republic · #262 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $81.29 $0.38 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $81.29
  10. Rank 10 Quinlan Vos — Sticking the Landing Twilight of the Republic · #275 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $76.36 $0.35 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $76.36
Advanced statistical breakdown for Twilight of the Republic (Bayesian pull-rate posteriors, tornado sensitivity & sources)

Twilight of the Republic · Bayesian chase pull-rate posteriors

  1. 01 Showcase Leader Pack slot: Leader · ~1 in 288.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.051%–0.899% per pack 0.0833 expected copies per booster display 0.05%–0.90%90% credible / pack 1 : 288.0Packs 0.35% 0.08 / box Posterior mean per booster display
  2. 02 Hs Legendary Pack slot: Uncommons · ~1 in 66.7 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.139%–1.069% per pack 0.3600 expected copies per booster display 0.14%–1.07%90% credible / pack 1 : 66.7Packs 0.50% 0.36 / box Posterior mean per booster display
  3. 03 Hsf Rare Pack slot: Foil · ~1 in 200.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.061%–1.307% per pack 0.1200 expected copies per booster display 0.06%–1.31%90% credible / pack 1 : 200.0Packs 0.50% 0.12 / box Posterior mean per booster display
  4. 04 Hsf Legendary Pack slot: Foil · ~1 in 1000.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.000%–0.447% per pack 0.0240 expected copies per booster display 0.00%–0.45%90% credible / pack 1 : 1000.0Packs 0.10% 0.02 / box Posterior mean per booster display

Twilight of the Republic · Tornado sensitivity drivers

  1. 01 Tier price band: Common Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $47.46 · High expected value: $61.69 $47.46Low scenario $61.69High scenario ±$7.12 $14.23 swing Expected value range for this factor
  2. 02 Pull rate: Showcase Leader Slot: Leader · 0.5× to 2× prior rate sensitivity Pull rate prior Low expected value: $49.96 · High expected value: $62.18 $49.96Low scenario $62.18High scenario ±$6.11 $12.22 swing Expected value range for this factor
  3. 03 Tier price band: Showcase Leader Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $49.95 · High expected value: $58.12 $49.95Low scenario $58.12High scenario ±$4.09 $8.17 swing Expected value range for this factor
  4. 04 Tier price band: Uncommon Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $51.30 · High expected value: $57.00 $51.30Low scenario $57.00High scenario ±$2.85 $5.70 swing Expected value range for this factor
  5. 05 Tier price band: Rare Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $52.00 · High expected value: $56.16 $52.00Low scenario $56.16High scenario ±$2.08 $4.16 swing Expected value range for this factor
  6. 06 Tier price band: Hyperspace Uncommon Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $52.14 · High expected value: $55.95 $52.14Low scenario $55.95High scenario ±$1.91 $3.81 swing Expected value range for this factor
Evidence disclosures & limitations for Twilight of the Republic
  • No completed-sale observations: prices are marketplace estimates and listings, so every price band is at its widest.
  • Uses FFG published approximate booster pack pull rates (~1 in 8 Legendary, ~1 in 288 Showcase leader, ~1 in 15 Hyperspace Rare/Legendary).
  • Every card in a pool is equally likely; draws are treated as independent.
Pack grammar & pull-rate sources

Buy Twilight of the Republic Booster Display on TCGplayer ↗ · Shop Twilight of the Republic packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ · Browse every card in Twilight of the Republic → · View Twilight of the Republic card values →

Ranked sets & booster boxes by expected value to box price (Collector value)

# Art Set Box price Median (P50) Value / Price Expected value
  1. Rank 01 Secrets of Power Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 988/990 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $88.57–$104.65 Chase expected value: $7.38 · Non-chase: $87.95 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0% $43.12 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $90.45 P25 $80.71 · P75 $102.84 Expected value to price ratio: 221.1% $95.33 P10 $72.96 · P90 $120.05
  2. Rank 02 Homeworlds Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 713/776 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $156.97–$195.15 Chase expected value: $27.46 · Non-chase: $143.33 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0% $79.76 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $158.21 P25 $142.29 · P75 $177.77 Expected value to price ratio: 214.1% $170.78 P10 $131.58 · P90 $203.27
  3. Rank 03 Ashes of the Empire Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $116.12–$156.67 Chase expected value: $28.76 · Non-chase: $104.37 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 97.7% $75.23 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $115.96 P25 $96.44 · P75 $144.14 Expected value to price ratio: 177.0% $133.14 P10 $85.49 · P90 $189.69
  4. Rank 04 Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 867/887 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $163.16–$198.85 Chase expected value: $38.45 · Non-chase: $141.04 P(any chase): 45.4% · P(box ≥ cost): 98.2% $103.75 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $160.20 P25 $135.38 · P75 $205.64 Expected value to price ratio: 173.0% $179.49 P10 $119.92 · P90 $262.08
  5. Rank 05 Legends of the Force Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 989/990 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $66.39–$81.85 Chase expected value: $8.41 · Non-chase: $63.95 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0% $42.29 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $65.53 P25 $58.47 · P75 $75.17 Expected value to price ratio: 171.1% $72.36 P10 $54.01 · P90 $89.92
  6. Rank 06 A Lawless Time Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $109.93–$147.82 Chase expected value: $26.72 · Non-chase: $96.79 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 97.8% $74.87 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $110.13 P25 $94.97 · P75 $130.32 Expected value to price ratio: 165.0% $123.51 P10 $84.74 · P90 $161.64
  7. Rank 07 Twilight of the Republic Star Wars: Unlimited - Twilight of the Republic Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 940/940 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $47.07–$69.01 Chase expected value: $9.88 · Non-chase: $44.15 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0% $33.09 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $45.71 P25 $42.65 · P75 $49.83 Expected value to price ratio: 163.3% $54.03 P10 $40.38 · P90 $58.26
  8. Rank 08 Jump to Lightspeed Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 977/982 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $82.27–$99.14 Chase expected value: $7.67 · Non-chase: $81.70 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 99.8% $56.28 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $83.51 P25 $74.17 · P75 $94.72 Expected value to price ratio: 158.8% $89.37 P10 $67.78 · P90 $110.59
  9. Rank 09 A Lawless Time (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 616/637 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $248.13–$318.49 Chase expected value: $74.52 · Non-chase: $211.77 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 82.9% $184.44 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $247.87 P25 $198.87 · P75 $344.78 Expected value to price ratio: 155.2% $286.30 P10 $170.30 · P90 $462.43
  10. Rank 10 Spark of Rebellion Star Wars: Unlimited - Spark of Rebellion Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 938/938 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $82.61–$105.39 Chase expected value: $13.86 · Non-chase: $79.33 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 97.1% $61.89 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $84.19 P25 $75.15 · P75 $95.17 Expected value to price ratio: 150.6% $93.19 P10 $68.07 · P90 $114.65
  11. Rank 11 Homeworlds (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 577/672 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $327.33–$396.77 Chase expected value: $53.01 · Non-chase: $305.40 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 91.2% $243.76 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $321.58 P25 $279.78 · P75 $396.31 Expected value to price ratio: 147.0% $358.42 P10 $247.40 · P90 $548.12
  12. Rank 12 Shadows of the Galaxy Star Wars: Unlimited - Shadows of the Galaxy Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 939/940 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $62.54–$83.10 Chase expected value: $10.29 · Non-chase: $60.12 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 97.8% $48.91 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $62.33 P25 $56.91 · P75 $69.80 Expected value to price ratio: 143.9% $70.40 P10 $52.71 · P90 $82.55
  13. Rank 13 Ashes of the Empire (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 624/661 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $267.58–$346.70 Chase expected value: $80.58 · Non-chase: $227.89 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 68.1% $221.83 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $265.57 P25 $207.04 · P75 $367.47 Expected value to price ratio: 139.1% $308.47 P10 $171.04 · P90 $506.76
  14. Rank 14 Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 870/896 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $175.83–$223.01 Chase expected value: $44.31 · Non-chase: $150.43 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 74.3% $144.22 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $168.08 P25 $143.55 · P75 $216.78 Expected value to price ratio: 135.0% $194.74 P10 $127.30 · P90 $279.31
  15. Rank 15 Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 835/860 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $181.31–$217.76 Chase expected value: $35.48 · Non-chase: $161.71 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 47.4% $183.15 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $179.55 P25 $154.05 · P75 $218.39 Expected value to price ratio: 107.7% $197.18 P10 $137.79 · P90 $285.32
How FoilFox calculates booster box expected value (EV)

Why mean expected value alone misleads—and how FoilFox models a box.

A single expected value number mixes everyday pulls with 1-in-2,500-pack lottery cards. FoilFox models each booster pack as an explicit slot grammar with mutually exclusive branches, updates pull-rate priors with empirical opening counts using a Beta-Binomial posterior, and runs Monte Carlo box trials alongside parameter-uncertainty scenarios.

Every box shows both its exact arithmetic mean expected value and its median box outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, chase vs. non-chase expected value split, and probability of clearing the reflective market price.

Collector vs. Seller valuation personas

Collector value prices every pulled card at its realizable FoilFox market quote or labeled estimate. Seller net subtracts 13.25% marketplace fees and $0.15 per-card shipping on cards at or above $1.00, and values sub-dollar bulk at $0.03 per card.

All figures are planning estimates, not a guarantee, appraisal, or offer. Unpriced catalog variants count as $0 rather than borrowing another printing’s price, and every price band widens when completed-sale observations are scarce.

Your FoilFox account

Sign in

Sign in to open shop inventory or your collection. Guides stay open without an account.

By continuing, you agree to the Terms and acknowledge the Privacy Policy. If you cannot legally accept the Terms where you live, a parent or guardian must own and manage the account. FoilFox accounts are not available to children under 13. Google shares your approved name, email address, and profile photo. FoilFox never sees your Google password or accesses Gmail or Drive.