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Sealed product reference

Homeworlds Carbonite Display expected value (EV)

Compare booster box expected value (EV), median box outcomes (P50), 10th–90th percentile spreads, and Bayesian chase pull odds before you open or sell a sealed box.

Planning estimate · 40 modeled boxes · English · USD Browse individual card values
Maul — Old Master Darth Vader — Might of the Empire Doctor Hemlock — Emotion Has No Place Here

Top chase: Darth Vader — Might of the Empire ($299.50) · Homeworlds Carbonite Display

Homeworlds Carbonite DisplayClear all
Expected box value (EV)
$358.42Homeworlds Carbonite Display · 90% credible mean: $327.33–$396.77
Expected value to box price
147.0%Sealed market: $243.76 (2026-09-29) · P(box ≥ cost): 91.2%
Median box (P50)
$321.58P10–P90 spread: $247.40–$548.12 (5,000 trials)
Chase share of expected value
$53.01 (14.8%)Non-chase floor: $305.40 · P(any chase): 45.8%
Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Carbonite Edition Booster Display · Simulated box outcome distribution vs. box price
★ Positive expected value (147.0% of box price)Average box value ($358.42) exceeds the $243.76 box cost; a typical (median) box returns $321.58.
Buy box on TCGplayer ($243.76) ↗ Shop packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ Browse set cards →
80% of simulated boxes land between $247.40 (unlucky P10) and $548.12 (lucky P90) 12 packs per Carbonite display · 577/672 printings priced
P10–P90 spread: $247.40–$548.12 Typical / Median (P50): $321.58 Expected value (Mean): $358.42 Box price: $243.76

Top chase cards in Homeworlds Carbonite Display

Click any card for price history & versions · Collector market prices
  1. Maul — Old Master Maul — Old Master Foil (showcase) · #798 $365.79 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $8.13/box
  2. Darth Vader — Might of the Empire Darth Vader — Might of the Empire Foil (showcase) · #789 $299.50 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $6.66/box
  3. Doctor Hemlock — Emotion Has No Place Here Doctor Hemlock — Emotion Has No Place Here Foil (showcase) · #785 $249.37 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $5.54/box
  4. Tarfful — Fighting From the Shadowlands Tarfful — Fighting From the Shadowlands Foil (showcase) · #792 $249.33 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $5.54/box
  5. Wicket — Few Greater Battles to Fight Wicket — Few Greater Battles to Fight Foil (showcase) · #796 $226.42 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $5.03/box
  6. Chewbacca — Relentless Rebel Chewbacca — Relentless Rebel Foil (showcase) · #791 $215.00 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $4.78/box
  7. Darth Sidious — There is no Mercy Darth Sidious — There is no Mercy Foil (showcase) · #793 $214.19 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $4.76/box
  8. Jar Jar Binks — Bombad General Jar Jar Binks — Bombad General Foil (showcase) · #787 $199.00 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $4.42/box
  9. General Grievous — Separatist Warlord General Grievous — Separatist Warlord Foil (showcase) · #790 $176.75 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $3.93/box
  10. Asajj Ventress — No Time for Regret Asajj Ventress — No Time for Regret Foil (showcase) · #783 $140.29 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $3.12/box

Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Carbonite Edition Booster Display · Breakdown by rarity & finish tier

  1. Tier 01 Hyperspace Foil Legendary Homeworlds · 3.78 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier 1 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $18.11Avg / pulled copy 3.78Copies / box 19.1% $68.50 Expected tier contribution
  2. Tier 02 Prestige Foil Homeworlds · 3.91 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $13.56Avg / pulled copy 3.91Copies / box 14.8% $53.03 Expected tier contribution
  3. Tier 03 Showcase Leader Homeworlds · 0.40 expected copies per Carbonite display Chase tier 7 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $132.53Avg / pulled copy 0.40Copies / box 14.8% $53.01 Expected tier contribution
  4. Tier 04 Prestige Homeworlds · 7.89 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $5.64Avg / pulled copy 7.89Copies / box 12.4% $44.50 Expected tier contribution
  5. Tier 05 Hyperspace Foil Rare Homeworlds · 15.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier 8 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $2.94Avg / pulled copy 15.00Copies / box 12.3% $44.08 Expected tier contribution
  6. Tier 06 Hyperspace Legendary Homeworlds · 2.67 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $11.68Avg / pulled copy 2.67Copies / box 8.7% $31.14 Expected tier contribution
  7. Tier 07 Hyperspace Rare Homeworlds · 6.95 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $2.17Avg / pulled copy 6.95Copies / box 4.2% $15.09 Expected tier contribution
  8. Tier 08 Hyperspace Foil Uncommon Homeworlds · 31.70 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier 2 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $0.46Avg / pulled copy 31.70Copies / box 4.0% $14.44 Expected tier contribution
  9. Tier 09 Hyperspace Foil Common Homeworlds · 54.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier 12 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $0.22Avg / pulled copy 54.00Copies / box 3.3% $11.71 Expected tier contribution
  10. Tier 10 Hyperspace Uncommon Homeworlds · 15.89 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier 1 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $0.40Avg / pulled copy 15.89Copies / box 1.8% $6.31 Expected tier contribution
  11. Tier 11 Hyperspace Common Homeworlds · 33.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier 16 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $0.17Avg / pulled copy 33.00Copies / box 1.6% $5.72 Expected tier contribution
  12. Tier 12 Hyperspace Foil Special Homeworlds · 3.51 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $1.39Avg / pulled copy 3.51Copies / box 1.4% $4.87 Expected tier contribution
  13. Tier 13 Hyperspace Leader Homeworlds · 11.60 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.39Avg / pulled copy 11.60Copies / box 1.3% $4.50 Expected tier contribution
  14. Tier 14 Hyperspace Special Homeworlds · 1.49 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $1.01Avg / pulled copy 1.49Copies / box 0.4% $1.50 Expected tier contribution
  15. Tier 15 Prestige Serialized Homeworlds · 0.20 expected copies per Carbonite display Chase tier 48 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $0.00Avg / pulled copy 0.20Copies / box 0.0% $0.00 Expected tier contribution

Homeworlds Carbonite Display · Top chase & value cards in this box

  1. Rank 01 Maul — Old Master Homeworlds · #798 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $365.79 $8.13 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $365.79
  2. Rank 02 Darth Vader — Might of the Empire Homeworlds · #789 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $299.50 $6.66 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $299.50
  3. Rank 03 Doctor Hemlock — Emotion Has No Place Here Homeworlds · #785 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $249.37 $5.54 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $249.37
  4. Rank 04 Tarfful — Fighting From the Shadowlands Homeworlds · #792 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $249.33 $5.54 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $249.33
  5. Rank 05 Wicket — Few Greater Battles to Fight Homeworlds · #796 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $226.42 $5.03 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $226.42
  6. Rank 06 Chewbacca — Relentless Rebel Homeworlds · #791 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $215.00 $4.78 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $215.00
  7. Rank 07 Darth Sidious — There is no Mercy Homeworlds · #793 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $214.19 $4.76 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $214.19
  8. Rank 08 Jar Jar Binks — Bombad General Homeworlds · #787 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $199.00 $4.42 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $199.00
  9. Rank 09 General Grievous — Separatist Warlord Homeworlds · #790 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $176.75 $3.93 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $176.75
  10. Rank 10 Asajj Ventress — No Time for Regret Homeworlds · #783 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $140.29 $3.12 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $140.29
Advanced statistical breakdown for Homeworlds Carbonite Display (Bayesian pull-rate posteriors, tornado sensitivity & sources)

Homeworlds Carbonite Display · Bayesian chase pull-rate posteriors

  1. 01 Showcase Leader Pack slot: Leader · ~1 in 30.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 1.809%–5.236% per pack 0.4000 expected copies per Carbonite display 1.81%–5.24%90% credible / pack 1 : 30.0Packs 3.33% 0.40 / box Posterior mean per Carbonite display
  2. 02 Prestige Serialized Pack slot: Prestige · ~1 in 60.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.276%–3.932% per pack 0.2000 expected copies per Carbonite display 0.28%–3.93%90% credible / pack 1 : 60.0Packs 1.67% 0.20 / box Posterior mean per Carbonite display

Homeworlds Carbonite Display · Tornado sensitivity drivers

  1. 01 Pull rate: Showcase Leader Slot: Leader · 0.5× to 2× prior rate sensitivity Pull rate prior Low expected value: $331.99 · High expected value: $411.28 $331.99Low scenario $411.28High scenario ±$39.65 $79.29 swing Expected value range for this factor
  2. 02 Tier price band: Hyperspace Foil Legendary Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $324.18 · High expected value: $392.68 $324.18Low scenario $392.68High scenario ±$34.25 $68.50 swing Expected value range for this factor
  3. 03 Tier price band: Prestige Foil Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $331.91 · High expected value: $384.94 $331.91Low scenario $384.94High scenario ±$26.52 $53.03 swing Expected value range for this factor
  4. 04 Tier price band: Showcase Leader Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $331.91 · High expected value: $384.93 $331.91Low scenario $384.93High scenario ±$26.51 $53.02 swing Expected value range for this factor
  5. 05 Tier price band: Prestige Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $336.18 · High expected value: $380.68 $336.18Low scenario $380.68High scenario ±$22.25 $44.50 swing Expected value range for this factor
  6. 06 Tier price band: Hyperspace Foil Rare Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $336.41 · High expected value: $380.48 $336.41Low scenario $380.48High scenario ±$22.04 $44.07 swing Expected value range for this factor
Evidence disclosures & limitations for Homeworlds Carbonite Display
  • No completed-sale observations: prices are marketplace estimates and listings, so every price band is at its widest.
  • 95 modeled variants have no FoilFox price and count as zero, so the mean is a lower bound.
  • Within-treatment rarity mixes use Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite empirical samples with wide Beta priors.
  • Serialized Prestige variants without a FoilFox price stay unpriced ($0 floor) and never borrow ordinary Prestige prices.
  • Every card in a pool is equally likely; draws are treated as independent.
Pack grammar & pull-rate sources

Buy Homeworlds Carbonite Display on TCGplayer ↗ · Shop Homeworlds packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ · Browse every card in Homeworlds → · View Homeworlds card values →

Ranked booster boxes by expected value to box price (Collector value)

# Art Booster box Box price Median (P50) Value / Price Expected value
  1. Rank 01 Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 988/990 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $88.57–$104.65 Chase expected value: $7.38 · Non-chase: $87.95 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0% $43.12 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $90.45 P25 $80.71 · P75 $102.84 Expected value to price ratio: 221.1% $95.33 P10 $72.96 · P90 $120.05
  2. Rank 02 Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 713/776 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $156.97–$195.15 Chase expected value: $27.46 · Non-chase: $143.33 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0% $79.76 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $158.21 P25 $142.29 · P75 $177.77 Expected value to price ratio: 214.1% $170.78 P10 $131.58 · P90 $203.27
  3. Rank 03 Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $116.12–$156.67 Chase expected value: $28.76 · Non-chase: $104.37 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 97.7% $75.23 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $115.96 P25 $96.44 · P75 $144.14 Expected value to price ratio: 177.0% $133.14 P10 $85.49 · P90 $189.69
  4. Rank 04 Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Carbonite Edition Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 867/887 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $163.16–$198.85 Chase expected value: $38.45 · Non-chase: $141.04 P(any chase): 45.4% · P(box ≥ cost): 98.2% $103.75 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $160.20 P25 $135.38 · P75 $205.64 Expected value to price ratio: 173.0% $179.49 P10 $119.92 · P90 $262.08
  5. Rank 05 Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 989/990 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $66.39–$81.85 Chase expected value: $8.41 · Non-chase: $63.95 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0% $42.29 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $65.53 P25 $58.47 · P75 $75.17 Expected value to price ratio: 171.1% $72.36 P10 $54.01 · P90 $89.92
  6. Rank 06 Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $109.93–$147.82 Chase expected value: $26.72 · Non-chase: $96.79 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 97.8% $74.87 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $110.13 P25 $94.97 · P75 $130.32 Expected value to price ratio: 165.0% $123.51 P10 $84.74 · P90 $161.64
  7. Rank 07 Star Wars: Unlimited - Twilight of the Republic Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 940/940 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $47.07–$69.01 Chase expected value: $9.88 · Non-chase: $44.15 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0% $33.09 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $45.71 P25 $42.65 · P75 $49.83 Expected value to price ratio: 163.3% $54.03 P10 $40.38 · P90 $58.26
  8. Rank 08 Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 977/982 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $82.27–$99.14 Chase expected value: $7.67 · Non-chase: $81.70 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 99.8% $56.28 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $83.51 P25 $74.17 · P75 $94.72 Expected value to price ratio: 158.8% $89.37 P10 $67.78 · P90 $110.59
  9. Rank 09 Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Carbonite Edition Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 616/637 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $248.13–$318.49 Chase expected value: $74.52 · Non-chase: $211.77 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 82.9% $184.44 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $247.87 P25 $198.87 · P75 $344.78 Expected value to price ratio: 155.2% $286.30 P10 $170.30 · P90 $462.43
  10. Rank 10 Star Wars: Unlimited - Spark of Rebellion Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 938/938 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $82.61–$105.39 Chase expected value: $13.86 · Non-chase: $79.33 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 97.1% $61.89 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $84.19 P25 $75.15 · P75 $95.17 Expected value to price ratio: 150.6% $93.19 P10 $68.07 · P90 $114.65
  11. Rank 11 Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Carbonite Edition Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 577/672 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $327.33–$396.77 Chase expected value: $53.01 · Non-chase: $305.40 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 91.2% $243.76 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $321.58 P25 $279.78 · P75 $396.31 Expected value to price ratio: 147.0% $358.42 P10 $247.40 · P90 $548.12
  12. Rank 12 Star Wars: Unlimited - Shadows of the Galaxy Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 939/940 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $62.54–$83.10 Chase expected value: $10.29 · Non-chase: $60.12 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 97.8% $48.91 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $62.33 P25 $56.91 · P75 $69.80 Expected value to price ratio: 143.9% $70.40 P10 $52.71 · P90 $82.55
  13. Rank 13 Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Carbonite Edition Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 624/661 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $267.58–$346.70 Chase expected value: $80.58 · Non-chase: $227.89 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 68.1% $221.83 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $265.57 P25 $207.04 · P75 $367.47 Expected value to price ratio: 139.1% $308.47 P10 $171.04 · P90 $506.76
  14. Rank 14 Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Carbonite Edition Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 870/896 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $175.83–$223.01 Chase expected value: $44.31 · Non-chase: $150.43 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 74.3% $144.22 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $168.08 P25 $143.55 · P75 $216.78 Expected value to price ratio: 135.0% $194.74 P10 $127.30 · P90 $279.31
  15. Rank 15 Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite Edition Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 835/860 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $181.31–$217.76 Chase expected value: $35.48 · Non-chase: $161.71 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 47.4% $183.15 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $179.55 P25 $154.05 · P75 $218.39 Expected value to price ratio: 107.7% $197.18 P10 $137.79 · P90 $285.32
How FoilFox calculates booster box expected value (EV)

Why mean expected value alone misleads—and how FoilFox models a box.

A single expected value number mixes everyday pulls with 1-in-2,500-pack lottery cards. FoilFox models each booster pack as an explicit slot grammar with mutually exclusive branches, updates pull-rate priors with empirical opening counts using a Beta-Binomial posterior, and runs Monte Carlo box trials alongside parameter-uncertainty scenarios.

Every box shows both its exact arithmetic mean expected value and its median box outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, chase vs. non-chase expected value split, and probability of clearing the sealed box price.

Collector vs. Seller valuation personas

Collector value prices every pulled card at its realizable FoilFox market quote or labeled estimate. Seller net subtracts 13.25% marketplace fees and $0.15 per-card shipping on cards at or above $1.00, and values sub-dollar bulk at $0.03 per card.

All figures are planning estimates, not a guarantee, appraisal, or offer. Unpriced catalog variants count as $0 rather than borrowing another printing’s price, and every price band widens when completed-sale observations are scarce.

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