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Sealed product reference

A Lawless Time Carbonite Display expected value (EV)

Compare booster box expected value (EV), median box outcomes (P50), 10th–90th percentile spreads, and Bayesian chase pull odds before you open or sell a sealed box.

Planning estimate · 40 modeled boxes · English · USD Browse individual card values
Lando Calrissian — Full Sabacc Lando Calrissian — Eyes Open Darth Vader — Unstoppable

Top chase: Lando Calrissian — Eyes Open ($299.99) · A Lawless Time Carbonite Display

A Lawless Time Carbonite DisplayClear all
Expected box value (EV)
$286.30A Lawless Time Carbonite Display · 90% credible mean: $248.13–$318.49
Expected value to box price
155.2%Sealed market: $184.44 (2026-09-29) · P(box ≥ cost): 82.9%
Median box (P50)
$247.87P10–P90 spread: $170.30–$462.43 (5,000 trials)
Chase share of expected value
$74.52 (26.0%)Non-chase floor: $211.77 · P(any chase): 45.8%
Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Carbonite Edition Booster Display · Simulated box outcome distribution vs. box price
★ Positive expected value (155.2% of box price)Average box value ($286.30) exceeds the $184.44 box cost; a typical (median) box returns $247.87.
Buy box on TCGplayer ($184.44) ↗ Shop packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ Browse set cards →
80% of simulated boxes land between $170.30 (unlucky P10) and $462.43 (lucky P90) 12 packs per Carbonite display · 616/637 printings priced
P10–P90 spread: $170.30–$462.43 Typical / Median (P50): $247.87 Expected value (Mean): $286.30 Box price: $184.44

Top chase cards in A Lawless Time Carbonite Display

Click any card for price history & versions · Collector market prices
  1. Lando Calrissian — Full Sabacc Lando Calrissian — Full Sabacc Foil (showcase) · #784 $328.28 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $7.30/box
  2. Lando Calrissian — Eyes Open Lando Calrissian — Eyes Open Foil (prestige, serialized) · #887 $299.99 ~1 in 195.0 boxes · EV $1.54/box
  3. Darth Vader — Unstoppable Darth Vader — Unstoppable Foil (showcase) · #777 $287.92 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $6.40/box
  4. Director Krennic — Amidst My Achievement Director Krennic — Amidst My Achievement Foil (showcase) · #774 $266.07 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $5.91/box
  5. Asajj Ventress — Reluctant Hunter Asajj Ventress — Reluctant Hunter Foil (prestige, serialized) · #863 $249.98 ~1 in 195.0 boxes · EV $1.28/box
  6. Chewbacca — Hero of Kessel Chewbacca — Hero of Kessel Foil (showcase) · #779 $227.22 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $5.05/box
  7. Jyn Erso — Time to Fight Jyn Erso — Time to Fight Foil (showcase) · #771 $200.56 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $4.46/box
  8. The Mandalorian — Let's See the Puck The Mandalorian — Let's See the Puck Foil (prestige, serialized) · #894 $172.17 ~1 in 195.0 boxes · EV $0.88/box
  9. Tobias Beckett — People are Predictable Tobias Beckett — People are Predictable Foil (showcase) · #768 $170.12 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $3.78/box
  10. Aurra Sing — Assassin Aurra Sing — Assassin Foil (showcase) · #770 $161.80 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $3.60/box

Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Carbonite Edition Booster Display · Breakdown by rarity & finish tier

  1. Tier 01 Showcase Leader A Lawless Time · 0.40 expected copies per Carbonite display Chase tier $161.90Avg / pulled copy 0.40Copies / box 22.6% $64.76 Expected tier contribution
  2. Tier 02 Hyperspace Foil Legendary A Lawless Time · 3.78 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $13.86Avg / pulled copy 3.78Copies / box 18.3% $52.43 Expected tier contribution
  3. Tier 03 Hyperspace Foil Rare A Lawless Time · 15.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $2.39Avg / pulled copy 15.00Copies / box 12.5% $35.87 Expected tier contribution
  4. Tier 04 Hyperspace Legendary A Lawless Time · 2.67 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $9.90Avg / pulled copy 2.67Copies / box 9.2% $26.41 Expected tier contribution
  5. Tier 05 Prestige Foil A Lawless Time · 3.91 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $5.37Avg / pulled copy 3.91Copies / box 7.3% $21.01 Expected tier contribution
  6. Tier 06 Prestige A Lawless Time · 7.89 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $2.17Avg / pulled copy 7.89Copies / box 6.0% $17.13 Expected tier contribution
  7. Tier 07 Hyperspace Foil Uncommon A Lawless Time · 31.70 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.49Avg / pulled copy 31.70Copies / box 5.5% $15.65 Expected tier contribution
  8. Tier 08 Hyperspace Rare A Lawless Time · 6.95 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $1.61Avg / pulled copy 6.95Copies / box 3.9% $11.21 Expected tier contribution
  9. Tier 09 Prestige Serialized A Lawless Time · 0.20 expected copies per Carbonite display Chase tier 21 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $48.80Avg / pulled copy 0.20Copies / box 3.4% $9.76 Expected tier contribution
  10. Tier 10 Hyperspace Foil Common A Lawless Time · 54.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.15Avg / pulled copy 54.00Copies / box 2.8% $8.09 Expected tier contribution
  11. Tier 11 Hyperspace Uncommon A Lawless Time · 15.89 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.42Avg / pulled copy 15.89Copies / box 2.3% $6.63 Expected tier contribution
  12. Tier 12 Hyperspace Common A Lawless Time · 33.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.20Avg / pulled copy 33.00Copies / box 2.2% $6.44 Expected tier contribution
  13. Tier 13 Hyperspace Foil Special A Lawless Time · 3.51 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $1.57Avg / pulled copy 3.51Copies / box 1.9% $5.50 Expected tier contribution
  14. Tier 14 Hyperspace Leader A Lawless Time · 11.60 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.26Avg / pulled copy 11.60Copies / box 1.1% $3.07 Expected tier contribution
  15. Tier 15 Hyperspace Special A Lawless Time · 1.49 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $1.56Avg / pulled copy 1.49Copies / box 0.8% $2.32 Expected tier contribution

A Lawless Time Carbonite Display · Top chase & value cards in this box

  1. Rank 01 Lando Calrissian — Full Sabacc A Lawless Time · #784 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $328.28 $7.30 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $328.28
  2. Rank 02 Lando Calrissian — Eyes Open A Lawless Time · #887 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 195.0 boxes 1 : 195.0Box odds 0.0051Copies / box $299.99 $1.54 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $299.99
  3. Rank 03 Darth Vader — Unstoppable A Lawless Time · #777 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $287.92 $6.40 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $287.92
  4. Rank 04 Director Krennic — Amidst My Achievement A Lawless Time · #774 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $266.07 $5.91 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $266.07
  5. Rank 05 Asajj Ventress — Reluctant Hunter A Lawless Time · #863 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 195.0 boxes 1 : 195.0Box odds 0.0051Copies / box $249.98 $1.28 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $249.98
  6. Rank 06 Chewbacca — Hero of Kessel A Lawless Time · #779 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $227.22 $5.05 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $227.22
  7. Rank 07 Jyn Erso — Time to Fight A Lawless Time · #771 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $200.56 $4.46 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $200.56
  8. Rank 08 The Mandalorian — Let's See the Puck A Lawless Time · #894 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 195.0 boxes 1 : 195.0Box odds 0.0051Copies / box $172.17 $0.88 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $172.17
  9. Rank 09 Tobias Beckett — People are Predictable A Lawless Time · #768 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $170.12 $3.78 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $170.12
  10. Rank 10 Aurra Sing — Assassin A Lawless Time · #770 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $161.80 $3.60 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $161.80
Advanced statistical breakdown for A Lawless Time Carbonite Display (Bayesian pull-rate posteriors, tornado sensitivity & sources)

A Lawless Time Carbonite Display · Bayesian chase pull-rate posteriors

  1. 01 Showcase Leader Pack slot: Leader · ~1 in 30.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 1.809%–5.236% per pack 0.4000 expected copies per Carbonite display 1.81%–5.24%90% credible / pack 1 : 30.0Packs 3.33% 0.40 / box Posterior mean per Carbonite display
  2. 02 Prestige Serialized Pack slot: Prestige · ~1 in 60.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.276%–3.932% per pack 0.2000 expected copies per Carbonite display 0.28%–3.93%90% credible / pack 1 : 60.0Packs 1.67% 0.20 / box Posterior mean per Carbonite display

A Lawless Time Carbonite Display · Tornado sensitivity drivers

  1. 01 Pull rate: Showcase Leader Slot: Leader · 0.5× to 2× prior rate sensitivity Pull rate prior Low expected value: $253.97 · High expected value: $350.95 $253.97Low scenario $350.95High scenario ±$48.49 $96.98 swing Expected value range for this factor
  2. 02 Tier price band: Showcase Leader Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $253.92 · High expected value: $318.68 $253.92Low scenario $318.68High scenario ±$32.38 $64.76 swing Expected value range for this factor
  3. 03 Tier price band: Hyperspace Foil Legendary Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $260.09 · High expected value: $312.52 $260.09Low scenario $312.52High scenario ±$26.22 $52.43 swing Expected value range for this factor
  4. 04 Tier price band: Hyperspace Foil Rare Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $268.39 · High expected value: $304.27 $268.39Low scenario $304.27High scenario ±$17.94 $35.88 swing Expected value range for this factor
  5. 05 Tier price band: Hyperspace Legendary Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $273.10 · High expected value: $299.51 $273.10Low scenario $299.51High scenario ±$13.21 $26.41 swing Expected value range for this factor
  6. 06 Tier price band: Prestige Foil Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $275.80 · High expected value: $296.81 $275.80Low scenario $296.81High scenario ±$10.51 $21.01 swing Expected value range for this factor
Evidence disclosures & limitations for A Lawless Time Carbonite Display
  • No completed-sale observations: prices are marketplace estimates and listings, so every price band is at its widest.
  • 21 modeled variants have no FoilFox price and count as zero, so the mean is a lower bound.
  • Within-treatment rarity mixes use Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite empirical samples with wide Beta priors.
  • Serialized Prestige variants without a FoilFox price stay unpriced ($0 floor) and never borrow ordinary Prestige prices.
  • Every card in a pool is equally likely; draws are treated as independent.
Pack grammar & pull-rate sources

Buy A Lawless Time Carbonite Display on TCGplayer ↗ · Shop A Lawless Time packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ · Browse every card in A Lawless Time → · View A Lawless Time card values →

Ranked booster boxes by expected value to box price (Collector value)

# Art Booster box Box price Median (P50) Value / Price Expected value
  1. Rank 01 Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 988/990 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $88.57–$104.65 Chase expected value: $7.38 · Non-chase: $87.95 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0% $43.12 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $90.45 P25 $80.71 · P75 $102.84 Expected value to price ratio: 221.1% $95.33 P10 $72.96 · P90 $120.05
  2. Rank 02 Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 713/776 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $156.97–$195.15 Chase expected value: $27.46 · Non-chase: $143.33 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0% $79.76 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $158.21 P25 $142.29 · P75 $177.77 Expected value to price ratio: 214.1% $170.78 P10 $131.58 · P90 $203.27
  3. Rank 03 Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $116.12–$156.67 Chase expected value: $28.76 · Non-chase: $104.37 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 97.7% $75.23 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $115.96 P25 $96.44 · P75 $144.14 Expected value to price ratio: 177.0% $133.14 P10 $85.49 · P90 $189.69
  4. Rank 04 Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Carbonite Edition Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 867/887 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $163.16–$198.85 Chase expected value: $38.45 · Non-chase: $141.04 P(any chase): 45.4% · P(box ≥ cost): 98.2% $103.75 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $160.20 P25 $135.38 · P75 $205.64 Expected value to price ratio: 173.0% $179.49 P10 $119.92 · P90 $262.08
  5. Rank 05 Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 989/990 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $66.39–$81.85 Chase expected value: $8.41 · Non-chase: $63.95 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0% $42.29 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $65.53 P25 $58.47 · P75 $75.17 Expected value to price ratio: 171.1% $72.36 P10 $54.01 · P90 $89.92
  6. Rank 06 Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $109.93–$147.82 Chase expected value: $26.72 · Non-chase: $96.79 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 97.8% $74.87 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $110.13 P25 $94.97 · P75 $130.32 Expected value to price ratio: 165.0% $123.51 P10 $84.74 · P90 $161.64
  7. Rank 07 Star Wars: Unlimited - Twilight of the Republic Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 940/940 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $47.07–$69.01 Chase expected value: $9.88 · Non-chase: $44.15 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0% $33.09 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $45.71 P25 $42.65 · P75 $49.83 Expected value to price ratio: 163.3% $54.03 P10 $40.38 · P90 $58.26
  8. Rank 08 Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 977/982 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $82.27–$99.14 Chase expected value: $7.67 · Non-chase: $81.70 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 99.8% $56.28 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $83.51 P25 $74.17 · P75 $94.72 Expected value to price ratio: 158.8% $89.37 P10 $67.78 · P90 $110.59
  9. Rank 09 Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Carbonite Edition Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 616/637 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $248.13–$318.49 Chase expected value: $74.52 · Non-chase: $211.77 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 82.9% $184.44 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $247.87 P25 $198.87 · P75 $344.78 Expected value to price ratio: 155.2% $286.30 P10 $170.30 · P90 $462.43
  10. Rank 10 Star Wars: Unlimited - Spark of Rebellion Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 938/938 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $82.61–$105.39 Chase expected value: $13.86 · Non-chase: $79.33 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 97.1% $61.89 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $84.19 P25 $75.15 · P75 $95.17 Expected value to price ratio: 150.6% $93.19 P10 $68.07 · P90 $114.65
  11. Rank 11 Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Carbonite Edition Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 577/672 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $327.33–$396.77 Chase expected value: $53.01 · Non-chase: $305.40 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 91.2% $243.76 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $321.58 P25 $279.78 · P75 $396.31 Expected value to price ratio: 147.0% $358.42 P10 $247.40 · P90 $548.12
  12. Rank 12 Star Wars: Unlimited - Shadows of the Galaxy Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 24 packs per booster display · 939/940 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $62.54–$83.10 Chase expected value: $10.29 · Non-chase: $60.12 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 97.8% $48.91 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $62.33 P25 $56.91 · P75 $69.80 Expected value to price ratio: 143.9% $70.40 P10 $52.71 · P90 $82.55
  13. Rank 13 Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Carbonite Edition Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 624/661 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $267.58–$346.70 Chase expected value: $80.58 · Non-chase: $227.89 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 68.1% $221.83 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $265.57 P25 $207.04 · P75 $367.47 Expected value to price ratio: 139.1% $308.47 P10 $171.04 · P90 $506.76
  14. Rank 14 Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Carbonite Edition Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 870/896 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $175.83–$223.01 Chase expected value: $44.31 · Non-chase: $150.43 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 74.3% $144.22 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $168.08 P25 $143.55 · P75 $216.78 Expected value to price ratio: 135.0% $194.74 P10 $127.30 · P90 $279.31
  15. Rank 15 Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite Edition Booster Display Star Wars: Unlimited · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 835/860 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $181.31–$217.76 Chase expected value: $35.48 · Non-chase: $161.71 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 47.4% $183.15 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $179.55 P25 $154.05 · P75 $218.39 Expected value to price ratio: 107.7% $197.18 P10 $137.79 · P90 $285.32
How FoilFox calculates booster box expected value (EV)

Why mean expected value alone misleads—and how FoilFox models a box.

A single expected value number mixes everyday pulls with 1-in-2,500-pack lottery cards. FoilFox models each booster pack as an explicit slot grammar with mutually exclusive branches, updates pull-rate priors with empirical opening counts using a Beta-Binomial posterior, and runs Monte Carlo box trials alongside parameter-uncertainty scenarios.

Every box shows both its exact arithmetic mean expected value and its median box outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, chase vs. non-chase expected value split, and probability of clearing the sealed box price.

Collector vs. Seller valuation personas

Collector value prices every pulled card at its realizable FoilFox market quote or labeled estimate. Seller net subtracts 13.25% marketplace fees and $0.15 per-card shipping on cards at or above $1.00, and values sub-dollar bulk at $0.03 per card.

All figures are planning estimates, not a guarantee, appraisal, or offer. Unpriced catalog variants count as $0 rather than borrowing another printing’s price, and every price band widens when completed-sale observations are scarce.

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