Star Wars: Unlimited · Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) · 12 packs per Carbonite display
Legends of the Force Carbonite Display expected value (EV)
Simulated expected value (EV), median Carbonite display outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, and Bayesian chase pull odds for Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Carbonite Edition Booster Display (12 packs) vs. its $144.22 reflective market price.
- Expected box value (EV)
- $194.74Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) · 90% credible mean: $175.83–$223.01
- Expected value to box price
- 135.0%Reflective market: $144.22 (2026-09-29) · P(box ≥ cost): 74.3%
- Median box (P50)
- $168.08P10–P90 spread: $127.30–$279.31 (5,000 trials)
- Chase share of expected value
- $44.31 (22.8%)Non-chase floor: $150.43 · P(any chase): 45.8%
Top chase cards in Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition)
Click any card for price history & versions · Collector market prices-
Yoda — My Ally is the Force
Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1149
$1,269.95
~1 in 230.0 boxes · EV $5.52/box
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Anakin Skywalker — Champion of Mortis
Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1159
$432.13
~1 in 230.0 boxes · EV $1.88/box
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Darth Revan — Scourge of the Old Republic
Foil (showcase) · #1021
$239.02
~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $5.31/box
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Kylo Ren — I Know Your Story
Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1122
$133.98
~1 in 230.0 boxes · EV $0.58/box
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Obi-Wan Kenobi — Courage Makes Heroes
Foil (showcase) · #1012
$130.90
~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $2.91/box
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The Daughter — Embodiment of Light
Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1154
$129.99
~1 in 230.0 boxes · EV $0.57/box
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Darth Maul — Sith Revealed
Foil (showcase) · #1013
$120.40
~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $2.68/box
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Qui-Gon Jinn — Student of the Living Force
Foil (showcase) · #1020
$116.23
~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $2.58/box
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Mother Talzin — Power Through Magick
Foil (showcase) · #1006
$116.16
~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $2.58/box
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Anakin Skywalker — Force Prodigy
Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1144
$103.04
~1 in 230.0 boxes · EV $0.45/box
Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Carbonite Edition Booster Display · Breakdown by rarity & finish tier
- Tier 01 Showcase Leader Legends of the Force · 0.40 expected copies per Carbonite display $76.53Avg / pulled copy 0.40Copies / box 15.7% $30.61 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 02 Prestige Foil Legends of the Force · 3.91 expected copies per Carbonite display $6.96Avg / pulled copy 3.91Copies / box 14.0% $27.23 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 03 Prestige Legends of the Force · 7.89 expected copies per Carbonite display $3.34Avg / pulled copy 7.89Copies / box 13.5% $26.37 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 04 Prestige Serialized Legends of the Force · 0.20 expected copies per Carbonite display $68.50Avg / pulled copy 0.20Copies / box 7.0% $13.70 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 05 Hyperspace Legendary Legends of the Force · 2.67 expected copies per Carbonite display $4.32Avg / pulled copy 2.67Copies / box 5.9% $11.51 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 06 Hyperspace Common Legends of the Force · 33.00 expected copies per Carbonite display $0.29Avg / pulled copy 33.00Copies / box 4.9% $9.50 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 07 Foil Legendary Legends of the Force · 2.57 expected copies per Carbonite display $3.64Avg / pulled copy 2.57Copies / box 4.8% $9.34 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 08 Hyperspace Rare Legends of the Force · 6.95 expected copies per Carbonite display $1.32Avg / pulled copy 6.95Copies / box 4.7% $9.18 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 09 Hyperspace Foil Legendary Legends of the Force · 1.22 expected copies per Carbonite display $7.25Avg / pulled copy 1.22Copies / box 4.5% $8.82 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 10 Foil Rare Legends of the Force · 12.43 expected copies per Carbonite display $0.58Avg / pulled copy 12.43Copies / box 3.7% $7.22 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 11 Hyperspace Foil Rare Legends of the Force · 2.57 expected copies per Carbonite display $2.52Avg / pulled copy 2.57Copies / box 3.3% $6.48 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 12 Hyperspace Uncommon Legends of the Force · 15.89 expected copies per Carbonite display $0.39Avg / pulled copy 15.89Copies / box 3.2% $6.23 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 13 Foil Common Legends of the Force · 42.00 expected copies per Carbonite display $0.13Avg / pulled copy 42.00Copies / box 2.8% $5.54 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 14 Hyperspace Foil Uncommon Legends of the Force · 7.70 expected copies per Carbonite display $0.61Avg / pulled copy 7.70Copies / box 2.4% $4.67 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 15 Hyperspace Foil Common Legends of the Force · 12.00 expected copies per Carbonite display $0.38Avg / pulled copy 12.00Copies / box 2.3% $4.56 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 16 Foil Uncommon Legends of the Force · 24.00 expected copies per Carbonite display $0.17Avg / pulled copy 24.00Copies / box 2.1% $4.14 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 17 Hyperspace Special Legends of the Force · 1.49 expected copies per Carbonite display $2.24Avg / pulled copy 1.49Copies / box 1.7% $3.34 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 18 Hyperspace Leader Legends of the Force · 11.60 expected copies per Carbonite display $0.26Avg / pulled copy 11.60Copies / box 1.5% $2.96 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 19 Hyperspace Foil Special Legends of the Force · 0.51 expected copies per Carbonite display $3.47Avg / pulled copy 0.51Copies / box 0.9% $1.78 Expected tier contribution
- Tier 20 Foil Special Legends of the Force · 3.00 expected copies per Carbonite display $0.52Avg / pulled copy 3.00Copies / box 0.8% $1.55 Expected tier contribution
Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) · Top chase & value cards in this box
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Rank 01
Yoda — My Ally is the Force
Legends of the Force · #1149
1 : 230.0Box odds
0.0043Copies / box
$1,269.95
$5.52
Expected value contribution per box
Collector single-card value: $1,269.95
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Rank 02
Anakin Skywalker — Champion of Mortis
Legends of the Force · #1159
1 : 230.0Box odds
0.0043Copies / box
$432.13
$1.88
Expected value contribution per box
Collector single-card value: $432.13
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Rank 03
Darth Revan — Scourge of the Old Republic
Legends of the Force · #1021
1 : 45.0Box odds
0.0222Copies / box
$239.02
$5.31
Expected value contribution per box
Collector single-card value: $239.02
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Rank 04
Kylo Ren — I Know Your Story
Legends of the Force · #1122
1 : 230.0Box odds
0.0043Copies / box
$133.98
$0.58
Expected value contribution per box
Collector single-card value: $133.98
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Rank 05
Obi-Wan Kenobi — Courage Makes Heroes
Legends of the Force · #1012
1 : 45.0Box odds
0.0222Copies / box
$130.90
$2.91
Expected value contribution per box
Collector single-card value: $130.90
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Rank 06
The Daughter — Embodiment of Light
Legends of the Force · #1154
1 : 230.0Box odds
0.0043Copies / box
$129.99
$0.57
Expected value contribution per box
Collector single-card value: $129.99
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Rank 07
Darth Maul — Sith Revealed
Legends of the Force · #1013
1 : 45.0Box odds
0.0222Copies / box
$120.40
$2.68
Expected value contribution per box
Collector single-card value: $120.40
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Rank 08
Qui-Gon Jinn — Student of the Living Force
Legends of the Force · #1020
1 : 45.0Box odds
0.0222Copies / box
$116.23
$2.58
Expected value contribution per box
Collector single-card value: $116.23
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Rank 09
Mother Talzin — Power Through Magick
Legends of the Force · #1006
1 : 45.0Box odds
0.0222Copies / box
$116.16
$2.58
Expected value contribution per box
Collector single-card value: $116.16
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Rank 10
Anakin Skywalker — Force Prodigy
Legends of the Force · #1144
1 : 230.0Box odds
0.0043Copies / box
$103.04
$0.45
Expected value contribution per box
Collector single-card value: $103.04
Advanced statistical breakdown for Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) (Bayesian pull-rate posteriors, tornado sensitivity & sources)
Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) · Bayesian chase pull-rate posteriors
- 01 Showcase Leader Pack slot: Leader · ~1 in 30.0 packs 1.81%–5.24%90% credible / pack 1 : 30.0Packs 3.33% 0.40 / box Posterior mean per Carbonite display
- 02 Prestige Serialized Pack slot: Prestige · ~1 in 60.0 packs 0.28%–3.93%90% credible / pack 1 : 60.0Packs 1.67% 0.20 / box Posterior mean per Carbonite display
Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) · Tornado sensitivity drivers
- 01 Pull rate: Showcase Leader Slot: Leader · 0.5× to 2× prior rate sensitivity $179.48Low scenario $225.25High scenario ±$22.89 $45.77 swing Expected value range for this factor
- 02 Tier price band: Showcase Leader Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier $179.43Low scenario $210.04High scenario ±$15.31 $30.61 swing Expected value range for this factor
- 03 Tier price band: Prestige Foil Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier $181.13Low scenario $208.36High scenario ±$13.62 $27.23 swing Expected value range for this factor
- 04 Tier price band: Prestige Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier $181.57Low scenario $207.95High scenario ±$13.19 $26.38 swing Expected value range for this factor
- 05 Pull rate: Prestige Serialized Slot: Prestige · 0.5× to 2× prior rate sensitivity $188.34Low scenario $207.53High scenario ±$9.60 $19.19 swing Expected value range for this factor
- 06 Tier price band: Prestige Serialized Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier $187.89Low scenario $201.59High scenario ±$6.85 $13.70 swing Expected value range for this factor
- No completed-sale observations: prices are marketplace estimates and listings, so every price band is at its widest.
- 26 modeled variants have no FoilFox price and count as zero, so the mean is a lower bound.
- Within-treatment rarity mixes use Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite empirical samples with wide Beta priors.
- Serialized Prestige variants without a FoilFox price stay unpriced ($0 floor) and never borrow ordinary Prestige prices.
- Every card in a pool is equally likely; draws are treated as independent.
- PUBLISHER: Packs of Prestige (FFG): 16 cards per Carbonite booster pack (1 Hyperspace/Showcase leader, 7 foils, 5 Hyperspace, 2 Hyperspace foil, 1 Prestige) (accessed 2026-10-12)
- EMPIRICAL: Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite rarity sample (accessed 2026-10-12)
- EMPIRICAL: Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite 60-display Prestige tier sample (accessed 2026-10-12)
- ASSUMPTION: Community estimate: ~1 serialized Prestige per Carbonite case (~1 in 60 packs) (accessed 2026-10-12)
Buy Legends of the Force Carbonite Display on TCGplayer ↗ · Shop Legends of the Force packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ · Browse every card in Legends of the Force → · View Legends of the Force card values →
Ranked sets & booster boxes by expected value to box price (Collector value)
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Rank 01
Secrets of Power
Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 988/990 variants priced
$43.12
TCGplayer · 2026-09-29
$90.45
P25 $80.71 · P75 $102.84
Expected value to price ratio: 221.1%
$95.33
P10 $72.96 · P90 $120.05
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Rank 02
Homeworlds
Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 713/776 variants priced
$79.76
TCGplayer · 2026-09-29
$158.21
P25 $142.29 · P75 $177.77
Expected value to price ratio: 214.1%
$170.78
P10 $131.58 · P90 $203.27
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Rank 03
Ashes of the Empire
Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced
$75.23
TCGplayer · 2026-09-29
$115.96
P25 $96.44 · P75 $144.14
Expected value to price ratio: 177.0%
$133.14
P10 $85.49 · P90 $189.69
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Rank 04
Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition)
Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 867/887 variants priced
$103.75
TCGplayer · 2026-09-29
$160.20
P25 $135.38 · P75 $205.64
Expected value to price ratio: 173.0%
$179.49
P10 $119.92 · P90 $262.08
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Rank 05
Legends of the Force
Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 989/990 variants priced
$42.29
TCGplayer · 2026-09-29
$65.53
P25 $58.47 · P75 $75.17
Expected value to price ratio: 171.1%
$72.36
P10 $54.01 · P90 $89.92
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Rank 06
A Lawless Time
Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced
$74.87
TCGplayer · 2026-09-29
$110.13
P25 $94.97 · P75 $130.32
Expected value to price ratio: 165.0%
$123.51
P10 $84.74 · P90 $161.64
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Rank 07
Twilight of the Republic
Star Wars: Unlimited - Twilight of the Republic Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 940/940 variants priced
$33.09
TCGplayer · 2026-09-29
$45.71
P25 $42.65 · P75 $49.83
Expected value to price ratio: 163.3%
$54.03
P10 $40.38 · P90 $58.26
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Rank 08
Jump to Lightspeed
Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 977/982 variants priced
$56.28
TCGplayer · 2026-09-29
$83.51
P25 $74.17 · P75 $94.72
Expected value to price ratio: 158.8%
$89.37
P10 $67.78 · P90 $110.59
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Rank 09
A Lawless Time (Carbonite Edition)
Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 616/637 variants priced
$184.44
TCGplayer · 2026-09-29
$247.87
P25 $198.87 · P75 $344.78
Expected value to price ratio: 155.2%
$286.30
P10 $170.30 · P90 $462.43
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Rank 10
Spark of Rebellion
Star Wars: Unlimited - Spark of Rebellion Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 938/938 variants priced
$61.89
TCGplayer · 2026-09-29
$84.19
P25 $75.15 · P75 $95.17
Expected value to price ratio: 150.6%
$93.19
P10 $68.07 · P90 $114.65
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Rank 11
Homeworlds (Carbonite Edition)
Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 577/672 variants priced
$243.76
TCGplayer · 2026-09-29
$321.58
P25 $279.78 · P75 $396.31
Expected value to price ratio: 147.0%
$358.42
P10 $247.40 · P90 $548.12
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Rank 12
Shadows of the Galaxy
Star Wars: Unlimited - Shadows of the Galaxy Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 939/940 variants priced
$48.91
TCGplayer · 2026-09-29
$62.33
P25 $56.91 · P75 $69.80
Expected value to price ratio: 143.9%
$70.40
P10 $52.71 · P90 $82.55
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Rank 13
Ashes of the Empire (Carbonite Edition)
Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 624/661 variants priced
$221.83
TCGplayer · 2026-09-29
$265.57
P25 $207.04 · P75 $367.47
Expected value to price ratio: 139.1%
$308.47
P10 $171.04 · P90 $506.76
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Rank 14
Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition)
Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 870/896 variants priced
$144.22
TCGplayer · 2026-09-29
$168.08
P25 $143.55 · P75 $216.78
Expected value to price ratio: 135.0%
$194.74
P10 $127.30 · P90 $279.31
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Rank 15
Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition)
Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 835/860 variants priced
$183.15
TCGplayer · 2026-09-29
$179.55
P25 $154.05 · P75 $218.39
Expected value to price ratio: 107.7%
$197.18
P10 $137.79 · P90 $285.32
How FoilFox calculates booster box expected value (EV)
Why mean expected value alone misleads—and how FoilFox models a box.
A single expected value number mixes everyday pulls with 1-in-2,500-pack lottery cards. FoilFox models each booster pack as an explicit slot grammar with mutually exclusive branches, updates pull-rate priors with empirical opening counts using a Beta-Binomial posterior, and runs Monte Carlo box trials alongside parameter-uncertainty scenarios.
Every box shows both its exact arithmetic mean expected value and its median box outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, chase vs. non-chase expected value split, and probability of clearing the reflective market price.
Collector vs. Seller valuation personas
Collector value prices every pulled card at its realizable FoilFox market quote or labeled estimate. Seller net subtracts 13.25% marketplace fees and $0.15 per-card shipping on cards at or above $1.00, and values sub-dollar bulk at $0.03 per card.
All figures are planning estimates, not a guarantee, appraisal, or offer. Unpriced catalog variants count as $0 rather than borrowing another printing’s price, and every price band widens when completed-sale observations are scarce.