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Star Wars: Unlimited · Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition) · 12 packs per Carbonite display

Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite Display expected value (EV)

Simulated expected value (EV), median Carbonite display outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, and Bayesian chase pull odds for Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite Edition Booster Display (12 packs) vs. its $183.15 reflective market price.

Planning estimate · 12 packs · 835/860 printings priced · USD Browse Jump to Lightspeed card values
Devastator — Hunting the Rebellion Grand Admiral Thrawn — ...How Unfortunate Boba Fett — Any Methods Necessary

Top chase: Grand Admiral Thrawn — ...How Unfortunate ($189.45) · Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition)

Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition)Clear all
Expected box value (EV)
$197.18Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition) · 90% credible mean: $181.31–$217.76
Expected value to box price
107.7%Reflective market: $183.15 (2026-09-29) · P(box ≥ cost): 47.4%
Median box (P50)
$179.55P10–P90 spread: $137.79–$285.32 (5,000 trials)
Chase share of expected value
$35.48 (18.0%)Non-chase floor: $161.71 · P(any chase): 45.8%
Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite Edition Booster Display · Simulated box outcome distribution vs. reflective market price
★ Positive expected value (107.7% of box price)Average box value ($197.18) exceeds the $183.15 reflective market price; a typical (median) box returns $179.55.
Buy box on TCGplayer ($183.15) ↗ Shop packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ FoilFox set card values → Browse set checklist →
80% of simulated boxes land between $137.79 (unlucky P10) and $285.32 (lucky P90) 12 packs per Carbonite display · 835/860 printings priced
P10–P90 spread: $137.79–$285.32 Typical / Median (P50): $179.55 Expected value (Mean): $197.18 Box price: $183.15

Top chase cards in Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition)

Click any card for price history & versions · Collector market prices
  1. Devastator — Hunting the Rebellion Devastator — Hunting the Rebellion Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1104 $199.99 ~1 in 180.0 boxes · EV $1.11/box
  2. Grand Admiral Thrawn — ...How Unfortunate Grand Admiral Thrawn — ...How Unfortunate Foil (showcase) · #998 $189.45 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $4.21/box
  3. Boba Fett — Any Methods Necessary Boba Fett — Any Methods Necessary Foil (showcase) · #1005 $151.00 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $3.36/box
  4. Sabine's Masterpiece — Crazy Colorful Sabine's Masterpiece — Crazy Colorful Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1121 $150.00 ~1 in 180.0 boxes · EV $0.83/box
  5. Shuttle ST-149 — Under Krennic's Authority Shuttle ST-149 — Under Krennic's Authority Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1119 $144.20 ~1 in 180.0 boxes · EV $0.80/box
  6. Darth Vader — Victor Squadron Leader Darth Vader — Victor Squadron Leader Foil (showcase) · #1002 $135.27 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $3.01/box
  7. Admiral Piett — Commanding the Armada Admiral Piett — Commanding the Armada Foil (showcase) · #1001 $132.88 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $2.95/box
  8. Corvus — Inferno Squadron Raider Corvus — Inferno Squadron Raider Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1088 $99.00 ~1 in 180.0 boxes · EV $0.55/box
  9. Vonreg's TIE Interceptor — Ace of the First Order Vonreg's TIE Interceptor — Ace of the First Order Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1102 $99.00 ~1 in 180.0 boxes · EV $0.55/box
  10. The Starhawk — Prototype Battleship The Starhawk — Prototype Battleship Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1101 $92.07 ~1 in 180.0 boxes · EV $0.51/box

Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite Edition Booster Display · Breakdown by rarity & finish tier

  1. Tier 01 Prestige Jump to Lightspeed · 7.89 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $3.92Avg / pulled copy 7.89Copies / box 15.7% $30.89 Expected tier contribution
  2. Tier 02 Showcase Leader Jump to Lightspeed · 0.40 expected copies per Carbonite display Chase tier $68.60Avg / pulled copy 0.40Copies / box 13.9% $27.44 Expected tier contribution
  3. Tier 03 Prestige Foil Jump to Lightspeed · 3.91 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $7.00Avg / pulled copy 3.91Copies / box 13.9% $27.36 Expected tier contribution
  4. Tier 04 Hyperspace Rare Jump to Lightspeed · 6.95 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $2.02Avg / pulled copy 6.95Copies / box 7.1% $14.06 Expected tier contribution
  5. Tier 05 Foil Rare Jump to Lightspeed · 12.43 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.89Avg / pulled copy 12.43Copies / box 5.6% $11.04 Expected tier contribution
  6. Tier 06 Hyperspace Legendary Jump to Lightspeed · 2.67 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $3.83Avg / pulled copy 2.67Copies / box 5.2% $10.21 Expected tier contribution
  7. Tier 07 Hyperspace Foil Rare Jump to Lightspeed · 2.57 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $3.72Avg / pulled copy 2.57Copies / box 4.8% $9.55 Expected tier contribution
  8. Tier 08 Foil Legendary Jump to Lightspeed · 2.57 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $3.21Avg / pulled copy 2.57Copies / box 4.2% $8.24 Expected tier contribution
  9. Tier 09 Prestige Serialized Jump to Lightspeed · 0.20 expected copies per Carbonite display Chase tier 20 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $40.20Avg / pulled copy 0.20Copies / box 4.1% $8.04 Expected tier contribution
  10. Tier 10 Hyperspace Common Jump to Lightspeed · 33.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier 4 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $0.23Avg / pulled copy 33.00Copies / box 3.8% $7.47 Expected tier contribution
  11. Tier 11 Hyperspace Uncommon Jump to Lightspeed · 15.89 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.44Avg / pulled copy 15.89Copies / box 3.6% $7.06 Expected tier contribution
  12. Tier 12 Hyperspace Foil Legendary Jump to Lightspeed · 1.22 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $5.38Avg / pulled copy 1.22Copies / box 3.3% $6.55 Expected tier contribution
  13. Tier 13 Foil Common Jump to Lightspeed · 42.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier 1 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $0.14Avg / pulled copy 42.00Copies / box 2.9% $5.79 Expected tier contribution
  14. Tier 14 Hyperspace Foil Uncommon Jump to Lightspeed · 7.70 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.73Avg / pulled copy 7.70Copies / box 2.9% $5.62 Expected tier contribution
  15. Tier 15 Hyperspace Foil Common Jump to Lightspeed · 12.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.46Avg / pulled copy 12.00Copies / box 2.8% $5.57 Expected tier contribution
  16. Tier 16 Foil Uncommon Jump to Lightspeed · 24.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.20Avg / pulled copy 24.00Copies / box 2.5% $4.88 Expected tier contribution
  17. Tier 17 Hyperspace Special Jump to Lightspeed · 1.49 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $1.75Avg / pulled copy 1.49Copies / box 1.3% $2.60 Expected tier contribution
  18. Tier 18 Hyperspace Leader Jump to Lightspeed · 11.60 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.22Avg / pulled copy 11.60Copies / box 1.3% $2.55 Expected tier contribution
  19. Tier 19 Hyperspace Foil Special Jump to Lightspeed · 0.51 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $2.36Avg / pulled copy 0.51Copies / box 0.6% $1.21 Expected tier contribution
  20. Tier 20 Foil Special Jump to Lightspeed · 3.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.36Avg / pulled copy 3.00Copies / box 0.5% $1.08 Expected tier contribution

Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition) · Top chase & value cards in this box

  1. Rank 01 Devastator — Hunting the Rebellion Jump to Lightspeed · #1104 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 180.0 boxes 1 : 180.0Box odds 0.0056Copies / box $199.99 $1.11 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $199.99
  2. Rank 02 Grand Admiral Thrawn — ...How Unfortunate Jump to Lightspeed · #998 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $189.45 $4.21 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $189.45
  3. Rank 03 Boba Fett — Any Methods Necessary Jump to Lightspeed · #1005 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $151.00 $3.36 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $151.00
  4. Rank 04 Sabine's Masterpiece — Crazy Colorful Jump to Lightspeed · #1121 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 180.0 boxes 1 : 180.0Box odds 0.0056Copies / box $150.00 $0.83 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $150.00
  5. Rank 05 Shuttle ST-149 — Under Krennic's Authority Jump to Lightspeed · #1119 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 180.0 boxes 1 : 180.0Box odds 0.0056Copies / box $144.20 $0.80 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $144.20
  6. Rank 06 Darth Vader — Victor Squadron Leader Jump to Lightspeed · #1002 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $135.27 $3.01 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $135.27
  7. Rank 07 Admiral Piett — Commanding the Armada Jump to Lightspeed · #1001 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $132.88 $2.95 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $132.88
  8. Rank 08 Corvus — Inferno Squadron Raider Jump to Lightspeed · #1088 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 180.0 boxes 1 : 180.0Box odds 0.0056Copies / box $99.00 $0.55 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $99.00
  9. Rank 09 Vonreg's TIE Interceptor — Ace of the First Order Jump to Lightspeed · #1102 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 180.0 boxes 1 : 180.0Box odds 0.0056Copies / box $99.00 $0.55 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $99.00
  10. Rank 10 The Starhawk — Prototype Battleship Jump to Lightspeed · #1101 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 180.0 boxes 1 : 180.0Box odds 0.0056Copies / box $92.07 $0.51 Expected value contribution per box Collector single-card value: $92.07
Advanced statistical breakdown for Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition) (Bayesian pull-rate posteriors, tornado sensitivity & sources)

Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition) · Bayesian chase pull-rate posteriors

  1. 01 Showcase Leader Pack slot: Leader · ~1 in 30.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 1.809%–5.236% per pack 0.4000 expected copies per Carbonite display 1.81%–5.24%90% credible / pack 1 : 30.0Packs 3.33% 0.40 / box Posterior mean per Carbonite display
  2. 02 Prestige Serialized Pack slot: Prestige · ~1 in 60.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.276%–3.932% per pack 0.2000 expected copies per Carbonite display 0.28%–3.93%90% credible / pack 1 : 60.0Packs 1.67% 0.20 / box Posterior mean per Carbonite display

Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition) · Tornado sensitivity drivers

  1. 01 Pull rate: Showcase Leader Slot: Leader · 0.5× to 2× prior rate sensitivity Pull rate prior Low expected value: $183.51 · High expected value: $224.53 $183.51Low scenario $224.53High scenario ±$20.51 $41.02 swing Expected value range for this factor
  2. 02 Tier price band: Prestige Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $181.76 · High expected value: $212.65 $181.76Low scenario $212.65High scenario ±$15.45 $30.89 swing Expected value range for this factor
  3. 03 Tier price band: Showcase Leader Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $183.47 · High expected value: $210.90 $183.47Low scenario $210.90High scenario ±$13.72 $27.43 swing Expected value range for this factor
  4. 04 Tier price band: Prestige Foil Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $183.51 · High expected value: $210.88 $183.51Low scenario $210.88High scenario ±$13.69 $27.37 swing Expected value range for this factor
  5. 05 Tier price band: Hyperspace Rare Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $190.17 · High expected value: $204.23 $190.17Low scenario $204.23High scenario ±$7.03 $14.06 swing Expected value range for this factor
  6. 06 Tier price band: Foil Rare Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $191.70 · High expected value: $202.73 $191.70Low scenario $202.73High scenario ±$5.52 $11.03 swing Expected value range for this factor
Evidence disclosures & limitations for Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition)
  • No completed-sale observations: prices are marketplace estimates and listings, so every price band is at its widest.
  • 25 modeled variants have no FoilFox price and count as zero, so the mean is a lower bound.
  • Within-treatment rarity mixes use Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite empirical samples with wide Beta priors.
  • Serialized Prestige variants without a FoilFox price stay unpriced ($0 floor) and never borrow ordinary Prestige prices.
  • Every card in a pool is equally likely; draws are treated as independent.
Pack grammar & pull-rate sources

Buy Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite Display on TCGplayer ↗ · Shop Jump to Lightspeed packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ · Browse every card in Jump to Lightspeed → · View Jump to Lightspeed card values →

Ranked sets & booster boxes by expected value to box price (Collector value)

# Art Set Box price Median (P50) Value / Price Expected value
  1. Rank 01 Secrets of Power Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 988/990 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $88.57–$104.65 Chase expected value: $7.38 · Non-chase: $87.95 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0% $43.12 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $90.45 P25 $80.71 · P75 $102.84 Expected value to price ratio: 221.1% $95.33 P10 $72.96 · P90 $120.05
  2. Rank 02 Homeworlds Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 713/776 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $156.97–$195.15 Chase expected value: $27.46 · Non-chase: $143.33 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0% $79.76 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $158.21 P25 $142.29 · P75 $177.77 Expected value to price ratio: 214.1% $170.78 P10 $131.58 · P90 $203.27
  3. Rank 03 Ashes of the Empire Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $116.12–$156.67 Chase expected value: $28.76 · Non-chase: $104.37 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 97.7% $75.23 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $115.96 P25 $96.44 · P75 $144.14 Expected value to price ratio: 177.0% $133.14 P10 $85.49 · P90 $189.69
  4. Rank 04 Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 867/887 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $163.16–$198.85 Chase expected value: $38.45 · Non-chase: $141.04 P(any chase): 45.4% · P(box ≥ cost): 98.2% $103.75 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $160.20 P25 $135.38 · P75 $205.64 Expected value to price ratio: 173.0% $179.49 P10 $119.92 · P90 $262.08
  5. Rank 05 Legends of the Force Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 989/990 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $66.39–$81.85 Chase expected value: $8.41 · Non-chase: $63.95 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0% $42.29 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $65.53 P25 $58.47 · P75 $75.17 Expected value to price ratio: 171.1% $72.36 P10 $54.01 · P90 $89.92
  6. Rank 06 A Lawless Time Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $109.93–$147.82 Chase expected value: $26.72 · Non-chase: $96.79 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 97.8% $74.87 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $110.13 P25 $94.97 · P75 $130.32 Expected value to price ratio: 165.0% $123.51 P10 $84.74 · P90 $161.64
  7. Rank 07 Twilight of the Republic Star Wars: Unlimited - Twilight of the Republic Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 940/940 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $47.07–$69.01 Chase expected value: $9.88 · Non-chase: $44.15 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 100.0% $33.09 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $45.71 P25 $42.65 · P75 $49.83 Expected value to price ratio: 163.3% $54.03 P10 $40.38 · P90 $58.26
  8. Rank 08 Jump to Lightspeed Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 977/982 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $82.27–$99.14 Chase expected value: $7.67 · Non-chase: $81.70 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 99.8% $56.28 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $83.51 P25 $74.17 · P75 $94.72 Expected value to price ratio: 158.8% $89.37 P10 $67.78 · P90 $110.59
  9. Rank 09 A Lawless Time (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 616/637 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $248.13–$318.49 Chase expected value: $74.52 · Non-chase: $211.77 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 82.9% $184.44 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $247.87 P25 $198.87 · P75 $344.78 Expected value to price ratio: 155.2% $286.30 P10 $170.30 · P90 $462.43
  10. Rank 10 Spark of Rebellion Star Wars: Unlimited - Spark of Rebellion Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 938/938 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $82.61–$105.39 Chase expected value: $13.86 · Non-chase: $79.33 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 97.1% $61.89 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $84.19 P25 $75.15 · P75 $95.17 Expected value to price ratio: 150.6% $93.19 P10 $68.07 · P90 $114.65
  11. Rank 11 Homeworlds (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 577/672 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $327.33–$396.77 Chase expected value: $53.01 · Non-chase: $305.40 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 91.2% $243.76 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $321.58 P25 $279.78 · P75 $396.31 Expected value to price ratio: 147.0% $358.42 P10 $247.40 · P90 $548.12
  12. Rank 12 Shadows of the Galaxy Star Wars: Unlimited - Shadows of the Galaxy Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 939/940 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $62.54–$83.10 Chase expected value: $10.29 · Non-chase: $60.12 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 97.8% $48.91 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $62.33 P25 $56.91 · P75 $69.80 Expected value to price ratio: 143.9% $70.40 P10 $52.71 · P90 $82.55
  13. Rank 13 Ashes of the Empire (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 624/661 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $267.58–$346.70 Chase expected value: $80.58 · Non-chase: $227.89 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 68.1% $221.83 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $265.57 P25 $207.04 · P75 $367.47 Expected value to price ratio: 139.1% $308.47 P10 $171.04 · P90 $506.76
  14. Rank 14 Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 870/896 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $175.83–$223.01 Chase expected value: $44.31 · Non-chase: $150.43 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 74.3% $144.22 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $168.08 P25 $143.55 · P75 $216.78 Expected value to price ratio: 135.0% $194.74 P10 $127.30 · P90 $279.31
  15. Rank 15 Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 835/860 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $181.31–$217.76 Chase expected value: $35.48 · Non-chase: $161.71 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 47.4% $183.15 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $179.55 P25 $154.05 · P75 $218.39 Expected value to price ratio: 107.7% $197.18 P10 $137.79 · P90 $285.32
How FoilFox calculates booster box expected value (EV)

Why mean expected value alone misleads—and how FoilFox models a box.

A single expected value number mixes everyday pulls with 1-in-2,500-pack lottery cards. FoilFox models each booster pack as an explicit slot grammar with mutually exclusive branches, updates pull-rate priors with empirical opening counts using a Beta-Binomial posterior, and runs Monte Carlo box trials alongside parameter-uncertainty scenarios.

Every box shows both its exact arithmetic mean expected value and its median box outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, chase vs. non-chase expected value split, and probability of clearing the reflective market price.

Collector vs. Seller valuation personas

Collector value prices every pulled card at its realizable FoilFox market quote or labeled estimate. Seller net subtracts 13.25% marketplace fees and $0.15 per-card shipping on cards at or above $1.00, and values sub-dollar bulk at $0.03 per card.

All figures are planning estimates, not a guarantee, appraisal, or offer. Unpriced catalog variants count as $0 rather than borrowing another printing’s price, and every price band widens when completed-sale observations are scarce.

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