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Star Wars: Unlimited · Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) · 12 packs per Carbonite display

Legends of the Force Carbonite Display expected value (EV)

Simulated expected value (EV), median Carbonite display outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, and Bayesian chase pull odds for Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Carbonite Edition Booster Display (12 packs) vs. its $147.18 reflective market price.

Planning estimate · 12 packs · 870/896 printings priced · USD Browse Legends of the Force card values
Yoda — My Ally is the Force Darth Revan — Scourge of the Old Republic Obi-Wan Kenobi — Courage Makes Heroes

Top chase in Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition): Darth Revan — Scourge of the Old Republic ($206.64)

Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition)Seller net personaClear all
Expected box value (EV)
$134.50Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) · 90% credible mean: $118.48–$160.93
Expected value to box price
91.4%Reflective market: $147.18 (2026-10-14) · P(box ≥ cost): 29.0%
Median box (P50)
$111.42P10–P90 spread: $75.73–$208.35 (5,000 trials)
Chase share of expected value
$38.35 (28.5%)Non-chase floor: $96.15 · P(any chase): 45.8%
Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Carbonite Edition Booster Display · Simulated box outcome distribution vs. reflective market price
Chase-driven box (91.4% of reflective market price)Typical (median) box returns $111.42; clearing the $147.18 reflective market price (29.0% of boxes) depends on hitting a top chase card.
Buy box on TCGplayer ($147.18) ↗ Shop Carbonite packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ FoilFox set card values → Browse set checklist →
80% of simulated boxes land between $75.73 (unlucky P10) and $208.35 (lucky P90) 12 packs per Carbonite display · 870/896 printings priced
P10–P90 spread: $75.73–$208.35 Typical / Median (P50): $111.42 Expected value (Mean): $134.50 Reflective market price: $147.18

Top chase cards in Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition)

Click any card for price history & versions · Seller net prices
  1. Yoda — My Ally is the Force Yoda — My Ally is the Force Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1149 $1,101.53 ~1 in 230.0 boxes · EV $4.79/box
  2. Darth Revan — Scourge of the Old Republic Darth Revan — Scourge of the Old Republic Foil (showcase) · #1021 $206.64 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $4.59/box
  3. Obi-Wan Kenobi — Courage Makes Heroes Obi-Wan Kenobi — Courage Makes Heroes Foil (showcase) · #1012 $113.41 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $2.52/box
  4. Darth Maul — Sith Revealed Darth Maul — Sith Revealed Foil (showcase) · #1013 $104.30 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $2.32/box
  5. Qui-Gon Jinn — Student of the Living Force Qui-Gon Jinn — Student of the Living Force Foil (showcase) · #1020 $100.68 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $2.24/box
  6. Mother Talzin — Power Through Magick Mother Talzin — Power Through Magick Foil (showcase) · #1006 $100.62 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $2.24/box
  7. Anakin Skywalker — Champion of Mortis Anakin Skywalker — Champion of Mortis Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1159 $374.72 ~1 in 230.0 boxes · EV $1.63/box
  8. Kylo Ren — I Know Your Story Kylo Ren — I Know Your Story Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1122 $116.08 ~1 in 230.0 boxes · EV $0.50/box
  9. The Daughter — Embodiment of Light The Daughter — Embodiment of Light Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1154 $112.62 ~1 in 230.0 boxes · EV $0.49/box
  10. Anakin Skywalker — Force Prodigy Anakin Skywalker — Force Prodigy Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1144 $89.24 ~1 in 230.0 boxes · EV $0.39/box

Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Carbonite Edition Booster Display · Breakdown by rarity & finish tier

  1. Tier 01 Showcase Leader Legends of the Force · 0.40 expected copies per Carbonite display Chase tier $66.20Avg / pulled copy 0.40Copies / box 19.7% $26.48 Expected tier contribution
  2. Tier 02 Prestige Foil Legends of the Force · 3.91 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $5.89Avg / pulled copy 3.91Copies / box 17.1% $23.04 Expected tier contribution
  3. Tier 03 Prestige Legends of the Force · 7.89 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $2.67Avg / pulled copy 7.89Copies / box 15.7% $21.07 Expected tier contribution
  4. Tier 04 Prestige Serialized Legends of the Force · 0.20 expected copies per Carbonite display Chase tier 25 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $59.35Avg / pulled copy 0.20Copies / box 8.8% $11.87 Expected tier contribution
  5. Tier 05 Hyperspace Legendary Legends of the Force · 2.67 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $3.44Avg / pulled copy 2.67Copies / box 6.8% $9.18 Expected tier contribution
  6. Tier 06 Foil Legendary Legends of the Force · 2.57 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $2.88Avg / pulled copy 2.57Copies / box 5.5% $7.40 Expected tier contribution
  7. Tier 07 Hyperspace Foil Legendary Legends of the Force · 1.22 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $6.05Avg / pulled copy 1.22Copies / box 5.5% $7.36 Expected tier contribution
  8. Tier 08 Hyperspace Rare Legends of the Force · 6.95 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.76Avg / pulled copy 6.95Copies / box 3.9% $5.26 Expected tier contribution
  9. Tier 09 Hyperspace Foil Rare Legends of the Force · 2.57 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $1.93Avg / pulled copy 2.57Copies / box 3.7% $4.95 Expected tier contribution
  10. Tier 10 Foil Rare Legends of the Force · 12.43 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.27Avg / pulled copy 12.43Copies / box 2.5% $3.40 Expected tier contribution
  11. Tier 11 Hyperspace Common Legends of the Force · 33.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.10Avg / pulled copy 33.00Copies / box 2.4% $3.18 Expected tier contribution
  12. Tier 12 Hyperspace Special Legends of the Force · 1.49 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $1.62Avg / pulled copy 1.49Copies / box 1.8% $2.42 Expected tier contribution
  13. Tier 13 Hyperspace Foil Uncommon Legends of the Force · 7.70 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.22Avg / pulled copy 7.70Copies / box 1.3% $1.72 Expected tier contribution
  14. Tier 14 Hyperspace Foil Special Legends of the Force · 0.51 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $2.80Avg / pulled copy 0.51Copies / box 1.1% $1.44 Expected tier contribution
  15. Tier 15 Hyperspace Uncommon Legends of the Force · 15.89 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.09Avg / pulled copy 15.89Copies / box 1.1% $1.44 Expected tier contribution
  16. Tier 16 Foil Common Legends of the Force · 42.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier 1 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $0.03Avg / pulled copy 42.00Copies / box 0.9% $1.25 Expected tier contribution
  17. Tier 17 Hyperspace Foil Common Legends of the Force · 12.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.09Avg / pulled copy 12.00Copies / box 0.8% $1.02 Expected tier contribution
  18. Tier 18 Hyperspace Leader Legends of the Force · 11.60 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.07Avg / pulled copy 11.60Copies / box 0.6% $0.83 Expected tier contribution
  19. Tier 19 Foil Uncommon Legends of the Force · 24.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.03Avg / pulled copy 24.00Copies / box 0.5% $0.72 Expected tier contribution
  20. Tier 20 Foil Special Legends of the Force · 3.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.15Avg / pulled copy 3.00Copies / box 0.3% $0.45 Expected tier contribution

Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) · Top chase & value cards in this box

  1. Rank 01 Yoda — My Ally is the Force Legends of the Force · #1149 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 230.0 boxes 1 : 230.0Box odds 0.0043Copies / box $1,101.53 $4.79 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $1,101.53
  2. Rank 02 Darth Revan — Scourge of the Old Republic Legends of the Force · #1021 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $206.64 $4.59 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $206.64
  3. Rank 03 Obi-Wan Kenobi — Courage Makes Heroes Legends of the Force · #1012 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $113.41 $2.52 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $113.41
  4. Rank 04 Darth Maul — Sith Revealed Legends of the Force · #1013 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $104.30 $2.32 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $104.30
  5. Rank 05 Qui-Gon Jinn — Student of the Living Force Legends of the Force · #1020 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $100.68 $2.24 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $100.68
  6. Rank 06 Mother Talzin — Power Through Magick Legends of the Force · #1006 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $100.62 $2.24 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $100.62
  7. Rank 07 Anakin Skywalker — Champion of Mortis Legends of the Force · #1159 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 230.0 boxes 1 : 230.0Box odds 0.0043Copies / box $374.72 $1.63 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $374.72
  8. Rank 08 Kylo Ren — I Know Your Story Legends of the Force · #1122 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 230.0 boxes 1 : 230.0Box odds 0.0043Copies / box $116.08 $0.50 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $116.08
  9. Rank 09 The Daughter — Embodiment of Light Legends of the Force · #1154 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 230.0 boxes 1 : 230.0Box odds 0.0043Copies / box $112.62 $0.49 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $112.62
  10. Rank 10 Anakin Skywalker — Force Prodigy Legends of the Force · #1144 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 230.0 boxes 1 : 230.0Box odds 0.0043Copies / box $89.24 $0.39 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $89.24
Advanced statistical breakdown for Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) (Bayesian pull-rate posteriors, tornado sensitivity & sources)

Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) · Bayesian chase pull-rate posteriors

  1. 01 Showcase Leader Pack slot: Leader · ~1 in 30.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 1.809%–5.236% per pack 0.4000 expected copies per Carbonite display 1.81%–5.24%90% credible / pack 1 : 30.0Packs 3.33% 0.40 / box Posterior mean per Carbonite display
  2. 02 Prestige Serialized Pack slot: Prestige · ~1 in 60.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.276%–3.932% per pack 0.2000 expected copies per Carbonite display 0.28%–3.93%90% credible / pack 1 : 60.0Packs 1.67% 0.20 / box Posterior mean per Carbonite display

Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) · Tornado sensitivity drivers

  1. 01 Pull rate: Showcase Leader Slot: Leader · 0.5× to 2× prior rate sensitivity Pull rate prior Low expected value: $121.28 · High expected value: $160.98 $121.28Low scenario $160.98High scenario ±$19.85 $39.70 swing Expected value range for this factor
  2. 02 Tier price band: Showcase Leader Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $121.24 · High expected value: $147.79 $121.24Low scenario $147.79High scenario ±$13.28 $26.55 swing Expected value range for this factor
  3. 03 Tier price band: Prestige Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $122.45 · High expected value: $146.51 $122.45Low scenario $146.51High scenario ±$12.03 $24.06 swing Expected value range for this factor
  4. 04 Tier price band: Prestige Foil Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $122.47 · High expected value: $146.34 $122.47Low scenario $146.34High scenario ±$11.94 $23.87 swing Expected value range for this factor
  5. 05 Pull rate: Prestige Serialized Slot: Prestige · 0.5× to 2× prior rate sensitivity Pull rate prior Low expected value: $128.95 · High expected value: $145.64 $128.95Low scenario $145.64High scenario ±$8.35 $16.69 swing Expected value range for this factor
  6. 06 Tier price band: Prestige Serialized Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $128.57 · High expected value: $140.46 $128.57Low scenario $140.46High scenario ±$5.95 $11.89 swing Expected value range for this factor
Evidence disclosures & limitations for Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition)
  • No completed-sale observations: prices are marketplace estimates and listings, so every price band is at its widest.
  • 26 modeled variants have no FoilFox price and count as zero, so the mean is a lower bound.
  • Within-treatment rarity mixes use Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite empirical samples with wide Beta priors.
  • Serialized Prestige variants without a FoilFox price stay unpriced ($0 floor) and never borrow ordinary Prestige prices.
  • Every card in a pool is equally likely; draws are treated as independent.
Pack grammar & pull-rate sources

Buy Legends of the Force Carbonite Display on TCGplayer ↗ · Shop Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ · Browse every card in Legends of the Force → · View Legends of the Force card values →

Ranked sets & booster boxes by expected value to box price (Seller net)

# Art Set Box price Median (P50) Value / Price Expected value
  1. Rank 01 Homeworlds (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 577/672 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $250.06–$309.22 Chase expected value: $46.61 · Non-chase: $229.27 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 86.9% $184.68 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $244.09 P25 $207.39 · P75 $308.95 Expected value to price ratio: 149.4% $275.88 P10 $178.70 · P90 $440.28
  2. Rank 02 Secrets of Power Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 988/990 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $46.33–$58.97 Chase expected value: $6.26 · Non-chase: $45.27 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 75.0% $38.66 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $47.29 P25 $38.67 · P75 $58.23 Expected value to price ratio: 133.3% $51.53 P10 $32.13 · P90 $72.39
  3. Rank 03 Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 867/887 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $110.47–$141.11 Chase expected value: $33.25 · Non-chase: $90.85 P(any chase): 45.4% · P(box ≥ cost): 53.6% $104.30 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $107.41 P25 $85.91 · P75 $147.04 Expected value to price ratio: 119.0% $124.10 P10 $72.08 · P90 $196.12
  4. Rank 04 A Lawless Time (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 616/637 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $179.43–$240.94 Chase expected value: $64.59 · Non-chase: $147.97 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 48.5% $184.37 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $179.22 P25 $136.53 · P75 $263.50 Expected value to price ratio: 115.3% $212.56 P10 $111.48 · P90 $365.11
  5. Rank 05 Homeworlds Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 713/776 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $66.92–$100.41 Chase expected value: $23.44 · Non-chase: $55.53 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 45.8% $70.98 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $68.06 P25 $54.10 · P75 $85.36 Expected value to price ratio: 111.3% $78.97 P10 $44.45 · P90 $107.48
  6. Rank 06 Ashes of the Empire (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 624/661 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $196.58–$265.55 Chase expected value: $69.63 · Non-chase: $161.50 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 44.9% $212.25 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $194.11 P25 $143.17 · P75 $282.32 Expected value to price ratio: 108.9% $231.13 P10 $111.31 · P90 $403.93
  7. Rank 07 Ashes of the Empire Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $61.86–$97.26 Chase expected value: $24.02 · Non-chase: $52.87 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 39.1% $72.56 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $61.83 P25 $45.04 · P75 $86.45 Expected value to price ratio: 106.0% $76.89 P10 $35.58 · P90 $125.36
  8. Rank 08 A Lawless Time Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $54.83–$87.91 Chase expected value: $22.38 · Non-chase: $44.83 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 31.2% $68.88 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $55.65 P25 $42.49 · P75 $73.20 Expected value to price ratio: 97.6% $67.21 P10 $33.33 · P90 $100.52
  9. Rank 09 Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 870/896 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $118.48–$160.93 Chase expected value: $38.35 · Non-chase: $96.15 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 29.0% $147.18 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $111.42 P25 $89.97 · P75 $154.00 Expected value to price ratio: 91.4% $134.50 P10 $75.73 · P90 $208.35
  10. Rank 10 Legends of the Force Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 989/990 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $29.32–$42.38 Chase expected value: $7.14 · Non-chase: $27.84 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 21.8% $40.11 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $29.08 P25 $22.92 · P75 $37.27 Expected value to price ratio: 87.2% $34.97 P10 $19.26 · P90 $50.38
  11. Rank 11 Spark of Rebellion Star Wars: Unlimited - Spark of Rebellion Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 938/938 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $44.36–$63.47 Chase expected value: $11.92 · Non-chase: $40.96 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 15.9% $64.77 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $45.15 P25 $37.26 · P75 $54.47 Expected value to price ratio: 81.6% $52.87 P10 $31.22 · P90 $71.52
  12. Rank 12 Jump to Lightspeed Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 977/982 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $37.88–$51.92 Chase expected value: $6.50 · Non-chase: $37.09 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 16.5% $55.92 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $38.45 P25 $30.49 · P75 $48.33 Expected value to price ratio: 78.0% $43.59 P10 $25.05 · P90 $61.67
  13. Rank 13 Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 835/860 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $121.23–$153.59 Chase expected value: $30.70 · Non-chase: $104.02 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 19.8% $173.60 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $119.65 P25 $97.46 · P75 $153.44 Expected value to price ratio: 77.6% $134.72 P10 $82.72 · P90 $211.39
  14. Rank 14 Twilight of the Republic Star Wars: Unlimited - Twilight of the Republic Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 940/940 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $18.80–$38.26 Chase expected value: $8.47 · Non-chase: $16.18 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 7.2% $32.69 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $17.32 P25 $14.93 · P75 $20.81 Expected value to price ratio: 75.4% $24.65 P10 $13.27 · P90 $27.56
  15. Rank 15 Shadows of the Galaxy Star Wars: Unlimited - Shadows of the Galaxy Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 939/940 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $26.97–$44.92 Chase expected value: $8.83 · Non-chase: $24.94 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 7.7% $50.73 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $26.81 P25 $22.22 · P75 $32.93 Expected value to price ratio: 66.6% $33.77 P10 $18.80 · P90 $43.92
How FoilFox calculates booster box expected value (EV)

Why mean expected value alone misleads—and how FoilFox models a box.

A single expected value number mixes everyday pulls with 1-in-2,500-pack lottery cards. FoilFox models each booster pack as an explicit slot grammar with mutually exclusive branches, updates pull-rate priors with empirical opening counts using a Beta-Binomial posterior, and runs Monte Carlo box trials alongside parameter-uncertainty scenarios.

Every box shows both its exact arithmetic mean expected value and its median box outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, chase vs. non-chase expected value split, and probability of clearing the reflective market price.

Collector vs. Seller valuation personas

Collector value prices every pulled card at its realizable FoilFox market quote or labeled estimate. Seller net subtracts 13.25% marketplace fees and $0.15 per-card shipping on cards at or above $1.00, and values sub-dollar bulk at $0.03 per card.

All figures are planning estimates, not a guarantee, appraisal, or offer. Unpriced catalog variants count as $0 rather than borrowing another printing’s price, and every price band widens when completed-sale observations are scarce.

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