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Star Wars: Unlimited · Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition) · 12 packs per Carbonite display

Secrets of Power Carbonite Display expected value (EV)

Simulated expected value (EV), median Carbonite display outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, and Bayesian chase pull odds for Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Carbonite Edition Booster Display (12 packs) vs. its $104.30 reflective market price.

Planning estimate · 12 packs · 867/887 printings priced · USD Browse Secrets of Power card values
Colonel Yularen — This is Why We Plan Sabé — Queen's Shadow Cassian Andor — Climb!

Top chase in Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition): Sabé — Queen's Shadow ($107.37)

Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition)Seller net personaClear all
Expected box value (EV)
$124.10Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition) · 90% credible mean: $110.47–$141.11
Expected value to box price
119.0%Reflective market: $104.30 (2026-10-14) · P(box ≥ cost): 53.6%
Median box (P50)
$107.41P10–P90 spread: $72.08–$196.12 (20,000 trials)
Chase share of expected value
$33.25 (26.8%)Non-chase floor: $90.85 · P(any chase): 45.4%
Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Carbonite Edition Booster Display · Simulated box outcome distribution vs. reflective market price
★ Positive expected value (119.0% of reflective market price)Average box value ($124.10) exceeds the $104.30 reflective market price; a typical (median) box returns $107.41.
Buy box on TCGplayer ($104.30) ↗ Shop Carbonite packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ FoilFox set card values → Browse set checklist →
80% of simulated boxes land between $72.08 (unlucky P10) and $196.12 (lucky P90) 12 packs per Carbonite display · 867/887 printings priced
P10–P90 spread: $72.08–$196.12 Typical / Median (P50): $107.41 Expected value (Mean): $124.10 Reflective market price: $104.30

Top chase cards in Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition)

Click any card for price history & versions · Seller net prices
  1. Colonel Yularen — This is Why We Plan Colonel Yularen — This is Why We Plan Foil (showcase) · #1026 $110.04 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $2.45/box
  2. Sabé — Queen's Shadow Sabé — Queen's Shadow Foil (showcase) · #1037 $107.37 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $2.38/box
  3. Cassian Andor — Climb! Cassian Andor — Climb! Foil (showcase) · #1032 $93.50 ~1 in 45.0 boxes · EV $2.07/box
  4. Queen Amidala — Championing Her People Queen Amidala — Championing Her People Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1127 $345.84 ~1 in 215.0 boxes · EV $1.61/box
  5. Major Partagaz — Healthcare Provider Major Partagaz — Healthcare Provider Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1132 $135.08 ~1 in 215.0 boxes · EV $0.63/box
  6. Mina Bonteri — Stop This War Mina Bonteri — Stop This War Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1126 $134.09 ~1 in 215.0 boxes · EV $0.62/box
  7. Grand Moff Tarkin — Taking Krennic's Achievement Grand Moff Tarkin — Taking Krennic's Achievement Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1139 $118.55 ~1 in 215.0 boxes · EV $0.55/box
  8. Vice Admiral Rampart — On Schedule Vice Admiral Rampart — On Schedule Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1133 $108.29 ~1 in 215.0 boxes · EV $0.50/box
  9. General Grievous — Scuttling to Safety General Grievous — Scuttling to Safety Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1138 $108.29 ~1 in 215.0 boxes · EV $0.50/box
  10. Karis Nemik — Freedom is a Pure Idea Karis Nemik — Freedom is a Pure Idea Foil (prestige, serialized) · #1148 $103.08 ~1 in 215.0 boxes · EV $0.48/box

Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Carbonite Edition Booster Display · Breakdown by rarity & finish tier

  1. Tier 01 Showcase Leader Secrets of Power · 0.40 expected copies per Carbonite display Chase tier $57.80Avg / pulled copy 0.40Copies / box 18.6% $23.12 Expected tier contribution
  2. Tier 02 Prestige Foil Secrets of Power · 3.91 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $3.75Avg / pulled copy 3.91Copies / box 11.8% $14.66 Expected tier contribution
  3. Tier 03 Hyperspace Rare Secrets of Power · 6.95 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $1.73Avg / pulled copy 6.95Copies / box 9.7% $12.06 Expected tier contribution
  4. Tier 04 Prestige Secrets of Power · 7.89 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $1.43Avg / pulled copy 7.89Copies / box 9.1% $11.29 Expected tier contribution
  5. Tier 05 Prestige Serialized Secrets of Power · 0.20 expected copies per Carbonite display Chase tier 18 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $50.65Avg / pulled copy 0.20Copies / box 8.2% $10.13 Expected tier contribution
  6. Tier 06 Foil Rare Secrets of Power · 12.43 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.76Avg / pulled copy 12.43Copies / box 7.6% $9.47 Expected tier contribution
  7. Tier 07 Hyperspace Foil Rare Secrets of Power · 2.57 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $2.99Avg / pulled copy 2.57Copies / box 6.2% $7.67 Expected tier contribution
  8. Tier 08 Hyperspace Legendary Secrets of Power · 2.67 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $2.67Avg / pulled copy 2.67Copies / box 5.7% $7.12 Expected tier contribution
  9. Tier 09 Hyperspace Foil Legendary Secrets of Power · 1.22 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $5.01Avg / pulled copy 1.22Copies / box 4.9% $6.09 Expected tier contribution
  10. Tier 10 Foil Legendary Secrets of Power · 2.57 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $1.96Avg / pulled copy 2.57Copies / box 4.0% $5.02 Expected tier contribution
  11. Tier 11 Hyperspace Common Secrets of Power · 33.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.08Avg / pulled copy 33.00Copies / box 2.3% $2.80 Expected tier contribution
  12. Tier 12 Hyperspace Special Secrets of Power · 1.49 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $1.60Avg / pulled copy 1.49Copies / box 1.9% $2.38 Expected tier contribution
  13. Tier 13 Hyperspace Foil Common Secrets of Power · 12.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.19Avg / pulled copy 12.00Copies / box 1.8% $2.28 Expected tier contribution
  14. Tier 14 Hyperspace Uncommon Secrets of Power · 15.89 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.14Avg / pulled copy 15.89Copies / box 1.7% $2.17 Expected tier contribution
  15. Tier 15 Hyperspace Foil Uncommon Secrets of Power · 7.70 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.24Avg / pulled copy 7.70Copies / box 1.5% $1.84 Expected tier contribution
  16. Tier 16 Foil Uncommon Secrets of Power · 24.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.07Avg / pulled copy 24.00Copies / box 1.4% $1.73 Expected tier contribution
  17. Tier 17 Hyperspace Foil Special Secrets of Power · 0.51 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $3.21Avg / pulled copy 0.51Copies / box 1.3% $1.65 Expected tier contribution
  18. Tier 18 Foil Common Secrets of Power · 42.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier 2 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $0.03Avg / pulled copy 42.00Copies / box 1.0% $1.23 Expected tier contribution
  19. Tier 19 Foil Special Secrets of Power · 3.00 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.35Avg / pulled copy 3.00Copies / box 0.8% $1.04 Expected tier contribution
  20. Tier 20 Hyperspace Leader Secrets of Power · 11.60 expected copies per Carbonite display Non-chase tier $0.03Avg / pulled copy 11.60Copies / box 0.3% $0.35 Expected tier contribution

Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition) · Top chase & value cards in this box

  1. Rank 01 Colonel Yularen — This is Why We Plan Secrets of Power · #1026 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $110.04 $2.45 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $110.04
  2. Rank 02 Sabé — Queen's Shadow Secrets of Power · #1037 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $107.37 $2.38 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $107.37
  3. Rank 03 Cassian Andor — Climb! Secrets of Power · #1032 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 45.0 boxes 1 : 45.0Box odds 0.0222Copies / box $93.50 $2.07 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $93.50
  4. Rank 04 Queen Amidala — Championing Her People Secrets of Power · #1127 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 215.0 boxes 1 : 215.0Box odds 0.0047Copies / box $345.84 $1.61 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $345.84
  5. Rank 05 Major Partagaz — Healthcare Provider Secrets of Power · #1132 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 215.0 boxes 1 : 215.0Box odds 0.0047Copies / box $135.08 $0.63 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $135.08
  6. Rank 06 Mina Bonteri — Stop This War Secrets of Power · #1126 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 215.0 boxes 1 : 215.0Box odds 0.0047Copies / box $134.09 $0.62 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $134.09
  7. Rank 07 Grand Moff Tarkin — Taking Krennic's Achievement Secrets of Power · #1139 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 215.0 boxes 1 : 215.0Box odds 0.0047Copies / box $118.55 $0.55 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $118.55
  8. Rank 08 Vice Admiral Rampart — On Schedule Secrets of Power · #1133 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 215.0 boxes 1 : 215.0Box odds 0.0047Copies / box $108.29 $0.50 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $108.29
  9. Rank 09 General Grievous — Scuttling to Safety Secrets of Power · #1138 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 215.0 boxes 1 : 215.0Box odds 0.0047Copies / box $108.29 $0.50 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $108.29
  10. Rank 10 Karis Nemik — Freedom is a Pure Idea Secrets of Power · #1148 Foil (prestige, serialized) Prestige Serialized · ~1 in 215.0 boxes 1 : 215.0Box odds 0.0047Copies / box $103.08 $0.48 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $103.08
Advanced statistical breakdown for Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition) (Bayesian pull-rate posteriors, tornado sensitivity & sources)

Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition) · Bayesian chase pull-rate posteriors

  1. 01 Showcase Leader Pack slot: Leader · ~1 in 30.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 1.809%–5.236% per pack 0.4000 expected copies per Carbonite display 1.81%–5.24%90% credible / pack 1 : 30.0Packs 3.33% 0.40 / box Posterior mean per Carbonite display
  2. 02 Prestige Serialized Pack slot: Prestige · ~1 in 60.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.276%–3.932% per pack 0.2000 expected copies per Carbonite display 0.28%–3.93%90% credible / pack 1 : 60.0Packs 1.67% 0.20 / box Posterior mean per Carbonite display

Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition) · Tornado sensitivity drivers

  1. 01 Pull rate: Showcase Leader Slot: Leader · 0.5× to 2× prior rate sensitivity Pull rate prior Low expected value: $112.56 · High expected value: $147.27 $112.56Low scenario $147.27High scenario ±$17.36 $34.71 swing Expected value range for this factor
  2. 02 Tier price band: Showcase Leader Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $112.52 · High expected value: $135.73 $112.52Low scenario $135.73High scenario ±$11.61 $23.21 swing Expected value range for this factor
  3. 03 Tier price band: Prestige Foil Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $116.04 · High expected value: $131.85 $116.04Low scenario $131.85High scenario ±$7.91 $15.81 swing Expected value range for this factor
  4. 04 Pull rate: Prestige Serialized Slot: Prestige · 0.5× to 2× prior rate sensitivity Pull rate prior Low expected value: $119.28 · High expected value: $133.82 $119.28Low scenario $133.82High scenario ±$7.27 $14.54 swing Expected value range for this factor
  5. 05 Tier price band: Prestige Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $117.61 · High expected value: $131.74 $117.61Low scenario $131.74High scenario ±$7.07 $14.13 swing Expected value range for this factor
  6. 06 Tier price band: Hyperspace Rare Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $117.76 · High expected value: $131.70 $117.76Low scenario $131.70High scenario ±$6.97 $13.94 swing Expected value range for this factor
Evidence disclosures & limitations for Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition)
  • No completed-sale observations: prices are marketplace estimates and listings, so every price band is at its widest.
  • 20 modeled variants have no FoilFox price and count as zero, so the mean is a lower bound.
  • No Secrets of Power-specific opening sample exists. Rarity mixes inside each treatment come from Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite samples (stand-in, wide priors).
  • Leaders are identified by the set's leader numbering: Hyperspace leaders #265-282 and Showcase leaders #1021-1038. Non-leader Hyperspace pools start at #283.
  • The serialized rate is a community estimate with a deliberately weak prior. Serialized variants without a FoilFox price stay unpriced, so they count as zero and the mean is a lower bound; they are never priced from ordinary Prestige.
  • TCGplayer lists 21 Gold and 21 Rose Gold Secrets of Power products that have no FoilFox catalog rows. Whether they are Carbonite content is unverified, so they are not modeled.
  • FFG's later pack changes (no black-border foils from A Lawless Time onward) do not apply to Secrets of Power.
  • Every card in a pool is equally likely; draws are independent; display guarantees are not modeled.
Pack grammar & pull-rate sources

Buy Secrets of Power Carbonite Display on TCGplayer ↗ · Shop Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition) packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ · Browse every card in Secrets of Power → · View Secrets of Power card values →

Ranked sets & booster boxes by expected value to box price (Seller net)

# Art Set Box price Median (P50) Value / Price Expected value
  1. Rank 01 Homeworlds (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 577/672 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $250.06–$309.22 Chase expected value: $46.61 · Non-chase: $229.27 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 86.9% $184.68 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $244.09 P25 $207.39 · P75 $308.95 Expected value to price ratio: 149.4% $275.88 P10 $178.70 · P90 $440.28
  2. Rank 02 Secrets of Power Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 988/990 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $46.33–$58.97 Chase expected value: $6.26 · Non-chase: $45.27 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 75.0% $38.66 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $47.29 P25 $38.67 · P75 $58.23 Expected value to price ratio: 133.3% $51.53 P10 $32.13 · P90 $72.39
  3. Rank 03 Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 867/887 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $110.47–$141.11 Chase expected value: $33.25 · Non-chase: $90.85 P(any chase): 45.4% · P(box ≥ cost): 53.6% $104.30 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $107.41 P25 $85.91 · P75 $147.04 Expected value to price ratio: 119.0% $124.10 P10 $72.08 · P90 $196.12
  4. Rank 04 A Lawless Time (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 616/637 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $179.43–$240.94 Chase expected value: $64.59 · Non-chase: $147.97 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 48.5% $184.37 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $179.22 P25 $136.53 · P75 $263.50 Expected value to price ratio: 115.3% $212.56 P10 $111.48 · P90 $365.11
  5. Rank 05 Homeworlds Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 713/776 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $66.92–$100.41 Chase expected value: $23.44 · Non-chase: $55.53 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 45.8% $70.98 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $68.06 P25 $54.10 · P75 $85.36 Expected value to price ratio: 111.3% $78.97 P10 $44.45 · P90 $107.48
  6. Rank 06 Ashes of the Empire (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 624/661 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $196.58–$265.55 Chase expected value: $69.63 · Non-chase: $161.50 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 44.9% $212.25 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $194.11 P25 $143.17 · P75 $282.32 Expected value to price ratio: 108.9% $231.13 P10 $111.31 · P90 $403.93
  7. Rank 07 Ashes of the Empire Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $61.86–$97.26 Chase expected value: $24.02 · Non-chase: $52.87 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 39.1% $72.56 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $61.83 P25 $45.04 · P75 $86.45 Expected value to price ratio: 106.0% $76.89 P10 $35.58 · P90 $125.36
  8. Rank 08 A Lawless Time Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $54.83–$87.91 Chase expected value: $22.38 · Non-chase: $44.83 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 31.2% $68.88 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $55.65 P25 $42.49 · P75 $73.20 Expected value to price ratio: 97.6% $67.21 P10 $33.33 · P90 $100.52
  9. Rank 09 Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 870/896 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $118.48–$160.93 Chase expected value: $38.35 · Non-chase: $96.15 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 29.0% $147.18 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $111.42 P25 $89.97 · P75 $154.00 Expected value to price ratio: 91.4% $134.50 P10 $75.73 · P90 $208.35
  10. Rank 10 Legends of the Force Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 989/990 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $29.32–$42.38 Chase expected value: $7.14 · Non-chase: $27.84 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 21.8% $40.11 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $29.08 P25 $22.92 · P75 $37.27 Expected value to price ratio: 87.2% $34.97 P10 $19.26 · P90 $50.38
  11. Rank 11 Spark of Rebellion Star Wars: Unlimited - Spark of Rebellion Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 938/938 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $44.36–$63.47 Chase expected value: $11.92 · Non-chase: $40.96 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 15.9% $64.77 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $45.15 P25 $37.26 · P75 $54.47 Expected value to price ratio: 81.6% $52.87 P10 $31.22 · P90 $71.52
  12. Rank 12 Jump to Lightspeed Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 977/982 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $37.88–$51.92 Chase expected value: $6.50 · Non-chase: $37.09 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 16.5% $55.92 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $38.45 P25 $30.49 · P75 $48.33 Expected value to price ratio: 78.0% $43.59 P10 $25.05 · P90 $61.67
  13. Rank 13 Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 835/860 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $121.23–$153.59 Chase expected value: $30.70 · Non-chase: $104.02 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 19.8% $173.60 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $119.65 P25 $97.46 · P75 $153.44 Expected value to price ratio: 77.6% $134.72 P10 $82.72 · P90 $211.39
  14. Rank 14 Twilight of the Republic Star Wars: Unlimited - Twilight of the Republic Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 940/940 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $18.80–$38.26 Chase expected value: $8.47 · Non-chase: $16.18 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 7.2% $32.69 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $17.32 P25 $14.93 · P75 $20.81 Expected value to price ratio: 75.4% $24.65 P10 $13.27 · P90 $27.56
  15. Rank 15 Shadows of the Galaxy Star Wars: Unlimited - Shadows of the Galaxy Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 939/940 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $26.97–$44.92 Chase expected value: $8.83 · Non-chase: $24.94 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 7.7% $50.73 TCGplayer · 2026-10-14 $26.81 P25 $22.22 · P75 $32.93 Expected value to price ratio: 66.6% $33.77 P10 $18.80 · P90 $43.92
How FoilFox calculates booster box expected value (EV)

Why mean expected value alone misleads—and how FoilFox models a box.

A single expected value number mixes everyday pulls with 1-in-2,500-pack lottery cards. FoilFox models each booster pack as an explicit slot grammar with mutually exclusive branches, updates pull-rate priors with empirical opening counts using a Beta-Binomial posterior, and runs Monte Carlo box trials alongside parameter-uncertainty scenarios.

Every box shows both its exact arithmetic mean expected value and its median box outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, chase vs. non-chase expected value split, and probability of clearing the reflective market price.

Collector vs. Seller valuation personas

Collector value prices every pulled card at its realizable FoilFox market quote or labeled estimate. Seller net subtracts 13.25% marketplace fees and $0.15 per-card shipping on cards at or above $1.00, and values sub-dollar bulk at $0.03 per card.

All figures are planning estimates, not a guarantee, appraisal, or offer. Unpriced catalog variants count as $0 rather than borrowing another printing’s price, and every price band widens when completed-sale observations are scarce.

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