Star Wars: Unlimited · Secrets of Power · 24 packs per booster display

Secrets of Power Booster Display expected value (EV)

Simulated expected value (EV), median booster display outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, and Bayesian chase pull odds for Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Booster Display (24 packs) vs. its $43.12 reflective market price.

Planning estimate · 24 packs · 988/990 printings priced · USD Browse Secrets of Power card values

Top chase: Sabé — Queen's Shadow ($107.70) · Secrets of Power

Expected box value (EV)
$51.53Secrets of Power · 90% credible mean: $46.33–$58.97
Expected value to box price
119.5%Reflective market: $43.12 (2026-09-29) · P(box ≥ cost): 62.2%
Median box (P50)
$47.29P10–P90 spread: $32.13–$72.39 (5,000 trials)
Chase share of expected value
$6.26 (12.1%)Non-chase floor: $45.27 · P(any chase): 44.8%
Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Booster Display · Simulated box outcome distribution vs. reflective market price
★ Positive expected value (119.5% of box price)Average box value ($51.53) exceeds the $43.12 reflective market price; a typical (median) box returns $47.29.
80% of simulated boxes land between $32.13 (unlucky P10) and $72.39 (lucky P90) 24 packs per booster display · 988/990 printings priced
P10–P90 spread: $32.13–$72.39 Typical / Median (P50): $47.29 Expected value (Mean): $51.53 Box price: $43.12

Top chase cards in Secrets of Power

Click any card for price history & versions · Seller net prices
  1. Colonel Yularen — This is Why We Plan Colonel Yularen — This is Why We Plan Foil (showcase) · #1026 $110.04 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.51/box
  2. Sabé — Queen's Shadow Sabé — Queen's Shadow Foil (showcase) · #1037 $107.70 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.50/box
  3. Cassian Andor — Climb! Cassian Andor — Climb! Foil (showcase) · #1032 $94.26 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.44/box
  4. Dedra Meero — Not Wasting Time Dedra Meero — Not Wasting Time Foil (showcase) · #1030 $78.92 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.37/box
  5. Padmé Amidala — What Do You Have to Hide? Padmé Amidala — What Do You Have to Hide? Foil (showcase) · #1036 $67.53 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.31/box
  6. Chancellor Palpatine — How Liberty Dies Chancellor Palpatine — How Liberty Dies Foil (showcase) · #1021 $62.84 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.29/box
  7. Dryden Vos — I Never Ask Twice Dryden Vos — I Never Ask Twice Foil (showcase) · #1027 $62.13 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.29/box
  8. Leia Organa — Of A Secret Bloodline Leia Organa — Of A Secret Bloodline Foil (showcase) · #1024 $60.32 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.28/box
  9. Jabba the Hutt — Wonderful Human Being Jabba the Hutt — Wonderful Human Being Foil (showcase) · #1022 $53.20 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.25/box
  10. Sly Moore — Cipher in the Dark Sly Moore — Cipher in the Dark Foil (showcase) · #1034 $47.42 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.22/box

Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Booster Display · Breakdown by rarity & finish tier

  1. Tier 01 Rare Secrets of Power · 21.00 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.88Avg / pulled copy 21.00Copies / box 35.8% $18.47 Expected tier contribution
  2. Tier 02 Common Secrets of Power · 236.00 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.03Avg / pulled copy 236.00Copies / box 13.7% $7.08 Expected tier contribution
  3. Tier 03 Legendary Secrets of Power · 3.00 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $1.69Avg / pulled copy 3.00Copies / box 9.8% $5.06 Expected tier contribution
  4. Tier 04 Uncommon Secrets of Power · 61.20 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.08Avg / pulled copy 61.20Copies / box 9.6% $4.96 Expected tier contribution
  5. Tier 05 Showcase Leader Secrets of Power · 0.0833 expected copies per booster display Chase tier $57.84Avg / pulled copy 0.083Copies / box 9.4% $4.82 Expected tier contribution
  6. Tier 06 Hyperspace Rare Secrets of Power · 2.52 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $1.73Avg / pulled copy 2.52Copies / box 8.5% $4.37 Expected tier contribution
  7. Tier 07 Foil Rare Secrets of Power · 2.11 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.76Avg / pulled copy 2.11Copies / box 3.1% $1.61 Expected tier contribution
  8. Tier 08 Hyperspace Uncommon Secrets of Power · 7.92 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.14Avg / pulled copy 7.92Copies / box 2.1% $1.08 Expected tier contribution
  9. Tier 09 Hyperspace Legendary Secrets of Power · 0.36 expected copies per booster display Chase tier $2.67Avg / pulled copy 0.36Copies / box 1.9% $0.96 Expected tier contribution
  10. Tier 10 Leader Secrets of Power · 19.92 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.03Avg / pulled copy 19.92Copies / box 1.2% $0.60 Expected tier contribution
  11. Tier 11 Foil Legendary Secrets of Power · 0.29 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $1.94Avg / pulled copy 0.29Copies / box 1.1% $0.56 Expected tier contribution
  12. Tier 12 Foil Common Secrets of Power · 14.88 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier 2 unpriced in catalog ($0 floor) $0.03Avg / pulled copy 14.88Copies / box 0.9% $0.44 Expected tier contribution
  13. Tier 13 Foil Uncommon Secrets of Power · 5.76 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.07Avg / pulled copy 5.76Copies / box 0.8% $0.41 Expected tier contribution
  14. Tier 14 Hyperspace Foil Rare Secrets of Power · 0.12 expected copies per booster display Chase tier $3.00Avg / pulled copy 0.12Copies / box 0.7% $0.36 Expected tier contribution
  15. Tier 15 Hyperspace Common Secrets of Power · 4.00 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.09Avg / pulled copy 4.00Copies / box 0.7% $0.34 Expected tier contribution
  16. Tier 16 Hyperspace Foil Legendary Secrets of Power · 0.0240 expected copies per booster display Chase tier $5.00Avg / pulled copy 0.024Copies / box 0.2% $0.12 Expected tier contribution
  17. Tier 17 Hyperspace Leader Secrets of Power · 4.00 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.03Avg / pulled copy 4.00Copies / box 0.2% $0.12 Expected tier contribution
  18. Tier 18 Hyperspace Foil Common Secrets of Power · 0.58 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.19Avg / pulled copy 0.58Copies / box 0.2% $0.11 Expected tier contribution
  19. Tier 19 Hyperspace Foil Uncommon Secrets of Power · 0.24 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.25Avg / pulled copy 0.24Copies / box 0.1% $0.06 Expected tier contribution

Secrets of Power · Top chase & value cards in this box

  1. Rank 01 Colonel Yularen — This is Why We Plan Secrets of Power · #1026 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $110.04 $0.51 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $110.04
  2. Rank 02 Sabé — Queen's Shadow Secrets of Power · #1037 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $107.70 $0.50 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $107.70
  3. Rank 03 Cassian Andor — Climb! Secrets of Power · #1032 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $94.26 $0.44 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $94.26
  4. Rank 04 Dedra Meero — Not Wasting Time Secrets of Power · #1030 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $78.92 $0.37 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $78.92
  5. Rank 05 Padmé Amidala — What Do You Have to Hide? Secrets of Power · #1036 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $67.53 $0.31 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $67.53
  6. Rank 06 Chancellor Palpatine — How Liberty Dies Secrets of Power · #1021 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $62.84 $0.29 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $62.84
  7. Rank 07 Dryden Vos — I Never Ask Twice Secrets of Power · #1027 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $62.13 $0.29 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $62.13
  8. Rank 08 Leia Organa — Of A Secret Bloodline Secrets of Power · #1024 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $60.32 $0.28 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $60.32
  9. Rank 09 Jabba the Hutt — Wonderful Human Being Secrets of Power · #1022 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $53.20 $0.25 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $53.20
  10. Rank 10 Sly Moore — Cipher in the Dark Secrets of Power · #1034 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $47.42 $0.22 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $47.42
Advanced statistical breakdown for Secrets of Power (Bayesian pull-rate posteriors, tornado sensitivity & sources)

Secrets of Power · Bayesian chase pull-rate posteriors

  1. 01 Showcase Leader Pack slot: Leader · ~1 in 288.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.051%–0.899% per pack 0.0833 expected copies per booster display 0.05%–0.90%90% credible / pack 1 : 288.0Packs 0.35% 0.08 / box Posterior mean per booster display
  2. 02 Hs Legendary Pack slot: Uncommons · ~1 in 66.7 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.139%–1.069% per pack 0.3600 expected copies per booster display 0.14%–1.07%90% credible / pack 1 : 66.7Packs 0.50% 0.36 / box Posterior mean per booster display
  3. 03 Hsf Rare Pack slot: Foil · ~1 in 200.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.061%–1.307% per pack 0.1200 expected copies per booster display 0.06%–1.31%90% credible / pack 1 : 200.0Packs 0.50% 0.12 / box Posterior mean per booster display
  4. 04 Hsf Legendary Pack slot: Foil · ~1 in 1000.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.000%–0.447% per pack 0.0240 expected copies per booster display 0.00%–0.45%90% credible / pack 1 : 1000.0Packs 0.10% 0.02 / box Posterior mean per booster display

Secrets of Power · Tornado sensitivity drivers

  1. 01 Tier price band: Rare Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $41.36 · High expected value: $62.19 $41.36Low scenario $62.19High scenario ±$10.42 $20.83 swing Expected value range for this factor
  2. 02 Pull rate: Showcase Leader Slot: Leader · 0.5× to 2× prior rate sensitivity Pull rate prior Low expected value: $49.12 · High expected value: $56.35 $49.12Low scenario $56.35High scenario ±$3.62 $7.23 swing Expected value range for this factor
  3. 03 Tier price band: Legendary Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $48.45 · High expected value: $54.61 $48.45Low scenario $54.61High scenario ±$3.08 $6.16 swing Expected value range for this factor
  4. 04 Tier price band: Hyperspace Rare Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $49.22 · High expected value: $54.27 $49.22Low scenario $54.27High scenario ±$2.53 $5.05 swing Expected value range for this factor
  5. 05 Tier price band: Showcase Leader Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $49.11 · High expected value: $53.95 $49.11Low scenario $53.95High scenario ±$2.42 $4.84 swing Expected value range for this factor
  6. 06 Tier price band: Uncommon Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $49.88 · High expected value: $53.93 $49.88Low scenario $53.93High scenario ±$2.03 $4.05 swing Expected value range for this factor
Evidence disclosures & limitations for Secrets of Power
  • No completed-sale observations: prices are marketplace estimates and listings, so every price band is at its widest.
  • 2 modeled variants have no FoilFox price and count as zero, so the mean is a lower bound.
  • Uses FFG published approximate booster pack pull rates (~1 in 8 Legendary, ~1 in 288 Showcase leader, ~1 in 15 Hyperspace Rare/Legendary).
  • Every card in a pool is equally likely; draws are treated as independent.
Pack grammar & pull-rate sources

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Ranked sets & booster boxes by expected value to box price (Seller net)

  1. Rank 01 Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 867/887 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $110.50–$141.14 Chase expected value: $33.28 · Non-chase: $90.85 P(any chase): 45.4% · P(box ≥ cost): 53.7% $103.75 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $107.44 P25 $85.93 · P75 $147.08 Expected value to price ratio: 119.6% $124.13 P10 $72.10 · P90 $196.17
  2. Rank 02 Secrets of Power Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 988/990 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $46.33–$58.97 Chase expected value: $6.26 · Non-chase: $45.27 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 62.2% $43.12 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $47.29 P25 $38.67 · P75 $58.23 Expected value to price ratio: 119.5% $51.53 P10 $32.13 · P90 $72.39
  3. Rank 03 A Lawless Time (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 616/637 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $179.42–$240.93 Chase expected value: $64.58 · Non-chase: $147.97 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 47.8% $184.44 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $179.21 P25 $136.52 · P75 $263.49 Expected value to price ratio: 115.2% $212.55 P10 $111.47 · P90 $365.09
  4. Rank 04 Homeworlds (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 577/672 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $249.46–$308.48 Chase expected value: $45.95 · Non-chase: $229.27 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 49.8% $243.76 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $243.51 P25 $206.89 · P75 $308.21 Expected value to price ratio: 112.9% $275.22 P10 $178.27 · P90 $439.23
  5. Rank 05 Ashes of the Empire (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 624/661 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $196.76–$265.79 Chase expected value: $69.84 · Non-chase: $161.50 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 40.1% $221.83 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $194.29 P25 $143.30 · P75 $282.58 Expected value to price ratio: 104.3% $231.34 P10 $111.41 · P90 $404.30
  6. Rank 06 Ashes of the Empire Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $61.91–$97.34 Chase expected value: $24.08 · Non-chase: $52.87 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 34.8% $75.23 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $61.88 P25 $45.08 · P75 $86.52 Expected value to price ratio: 102.3% $76.95 P10 $35.61 · P90 $125.46
  7. Rank 07 Homeworlds Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 713/776 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $66.80–$100.23 Chase expected value: $23.30 · Non-chase: $55.53 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 31.2% $79.76 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $67.94 P25 $54.00 · P75 $85.21 Expected value to price ratio: 98.8% $78.83 P10 $44.37 · P90 $107.29
  8. Rank 08 Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 870/896 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $118.49–$160.94 Chase expected value: $38.36 · Non-chase: $96.15 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 28.4% $144.22 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $111.43 P25 $89.98 · P75 $154.01 Expected value to price ratio: 93.3% $134.51 P10 $75.74 · P90 $208.37
  9. Rank 09 A Lawless Time Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $54.85–$87.94 Chase expected value: $22.40 · Non-chase: $44.83 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 23.2% $74.87 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $55.67 P25 $42.50 · P75 $73.22 Expected value to price ratio: 89.8% $67.23 P10 $33.34 · P90 $100.55
  10. Rank 10 Spark of Rebellion Star Wars: Unlimited - Spark of Rebellion Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 938/938 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $44.38–$63.49 Chase expected value: $11.94 · Non-chase: $40.96 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 15.1% $61.89 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $45.17 P25 $37.27 · P75 $54.49 Expected value to price ratio: 85.5% $52.89 P10 $31.23 · P90 $71.55
  11. Rank 11 Legends of the Force Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 989/990 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $29.32–$42.38 Chase expected value: $7.14 · Non-chase: $27.84 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 16.8% $42.29 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $29.08 P25 $22.92 · P75 $37.27 Expected value to price ratio: 82.7% $34.97 P10 $19.26 · P90 $50.38
  12. Rank 12 Jump to Lightspeed Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 977/982 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $37.89–$51.93 Chase expected value: $6.51 · Non-chase: $37.09 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 14.5% $56.28 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $38.46 P25 $30.50 · P75 $48.34 Expected value to price ratio: 77.5% $43.60 P10 $25.06 · P90 $61.68
  13. Rank 13 Twilight of the Republic Star Wars: Unlimited - Twilight of the Republic Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 940/940 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $18.80–$38.26 Chase expected value: $8.47 · Non-chase: $16.18 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 8.2% $33.09 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $17.32 P25 $14.93 · P75 $20.81 Expected value to price ratio: 74.5% $24.65 P10 $13.27 · P90 $27.56
  14. Rank 14 Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 835/860 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $121.23–$153.59 Chase expected value: $30.70 · Non-chase: $104.02 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 15.0% $183.15 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $119.65 P25 $97.46 · P75 $153.44 Expected value to price ratio: 73.6% $134.72 P10 $82.72 · P90 $211.39
  15. Rank 15 Shadows of the Galaxy Star Wars: Unlimited - Shadows of the Galaxy Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 939/940 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $26.97–$44.92 Chase expected value: $8.83 · Non-chase: $24.94 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 8.7% $48.91 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $26.81 P25 $22.22 · P75 $32.93 Expected value to price ratio: 69.0% $33.77 P10 $18.80 · P90 $43.92
How FoilFox calculates booster box expected value (EV)

Why mean expected value alone misleads—and how FoilFox models a box.

A single expected value number mixes everyday pulls with 1-in-2,500-pack lottery cards. FoilFox models each booster pack as an explicit slot grammar with mutually exclusive branches, updates pull-rate priors with empirical opening counts using a Beta-Binomial posterior, and runs Monte Carlo box trials alongside parameter-uncertainty scenarios.

Every box shows both its exact arithmetic mean expected value and its median box outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, chase vs. non-chase expected value split, and probability of clearing the reflective market price.

Collector vs. Seller valuation personas

Collector value prices every pulled card at its realizable FoilFox market quote or labeled estimate. Seller net subtracts 13.25% marketplace fees and $0.15 per-card shipping on cards at or above $1.00, and values sub-dollar bulk at $0.03 per card.

All figures are planning estimates, not a guarantee, appraisal, or offer. Unpriced catalog variants count as $0 rather than borrowing another printing’s price, and every price band widens when completed-sale observations are scarce.

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