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Star Wars: Unlimited · A Lawless Time · 24 packs per booster display

A Lawless Time Booster Display expected value (EV)

Simulated expected value (EV), median booster display outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, and Bayesian chase pull odds for Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Booster Display (24 packs) vs. its $74.87 reflective market price.

Planning estimate · 24 packs · 760/760 printings priced · USD Browse A Lawless Time card values
Lando Calrissian — Full Sabacc Darth Vader — Unstoppable Director Krennic — Amidst My Achievement

Top chase: Darth Vader — Unstoppable ($249.62) · A Lawless Time

A Lawless TimeSeller net personaClear all
Expected box value (EV)
$67.23A Lawless Time · 90% credible mean: $54.85–$87.94
Expected value to box price
89.8%Reflective market: $74.87 (2026-09-29) · P(box ≥ cost): 23.2%
Median box (P50)
$55.67P10–P90 spread: $33.34–$100.55 (5,000 trials)
Chase share of expected value
$22.40 (33.3%)Non-chase floor: $44.83 · P(any chase): 95.5%
Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Booster Display · Simulated box outcome distribution vs. reflective market price
Chase-driven box (89.8% of box price)Typical (median) box returns $55.67; clearing the $74.87 reflective market price (23.2% of boxes) depends on hitting a top chase card.
Buy box on TCGplayer ($74.87) ↗ Shop packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ FoilFox set card values → Browse set checklist →
80% of simulated boxes land between $33.34 (unlucky P10) and $100.55 (lucky P90) 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 printings priced
P10–P90 spread: $33.34–$100.55 Typical / Median (P50): $55.67 Expected value (Mean): $67.23 Box price: $74.87

Top chase cards in A Lawless Time

Click any card for price history & versions · Seller net prices
  1. Lando Calrissian — Full Sabacc Lando Calrissian — Full Sabacc Foil (showcase) · #784 $284.63 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $1.32/box
  2. Darth Vader — Unstoppable Darth Vader — Unstoppable Foil (showcase) · #777 $249.62 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $1.16/box
  3. Director Krennic — Amidst My Achievement Director Krennic — Amidst My Achievement Foil (showcase) · #774 $230.67 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $1.07/box
  4. Chewbacca — Hero of Kessel Chewbacca — Hero of Kessel Foil (showcase) · #779 $196.96 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.91/box
  5. Jyn Erso — Time to Fight Jyn Erso — Time to Fight Foil (showcase) · #771 $173.84 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.80/box
  6. Tobias Beckett — People are Predictable Tobias Beckett — People are Predictable Foil (showcase) · #768 $147.43 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.68/box
  7. Aurra Sing — Assassin Aurra Sing — Assassin Foil (showcase) · #770 $140.21 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.65/box
  8. Vel Sartha — Aldhani Insurgent Vel Sartha — Aldhani Insurgent Foil (showcase) · #772 $135.11 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.63/box
  9. Sebulba — Especially Dangerous Dug Sebulba — Especially Dangerous Dug Foil (showcase) · #778 $131.43 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.61/box
  10. Hera Syndulla — Not Fighting Alone Hera Syndulla — Not Fighting Alone Foil (showcase) · #775 $120.89 ~1 in 216.0 boxes · EV $0.56/box

Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Booster Display · Breakdown by rarity & finish tier

  1. Tier 01 Legendary A Lawless Time · 3.00 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $5.23Avg / pulled copy 3.00Copies / box 23.3% $15.69 Expected tier contribution
  2. Tier 02 Showcase Leader A Lawless Time · 0.0833 expected copies per booster display Chase tier $140.28Avg / pulled copy 0.083Copies / box 17.4% $11.69 Expected tier contribution
  3. Tier 03 Rare A Lawless Time · 21.00 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.54Avg / pulled copy 21.00Copies / box 16.9% $11.36 Expected tier contribution
  4. Tier 04 Common A Lawless Time · 236.00 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.03Avg / pulled copy 236.00Copies / box 10.5% $7.08 Expected tier contribution
  5. Tier 05 Hyperspace Foil Rare A Lawless Time · 2.23 expected copies per booster display Chase tier $1.78Avg / pulled copy 2.23Copies / box 5.9% $3.97 Expected tier contribution
  6. Tier 06 Uncommon A Lawless Time · 61.20 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.06Avg / pulled copy 61.20Copies / box 5.7% $3.80 Expected tier contribution
  7. Tier 07 Hyperspace Foil Legendary A Lawless Time · 0.31 expected copies per booster display Chase tier $11.86Avg / pulled copy 0.31Copies / box 5.5% $3.70 Expected tier contribution
  8. Tier 08 Hyperspace Legendary A Lawless Time · 0.36 expected copies per booster display Chase tier $8.44Avg / pulled copy 0.36Copies / box 4.5% $3.04 Expected tier contribution
  9. Tier 09 Hyperspace Rare A Lawless Time · 2.52 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $1.02Avg / pulled copy 2.52Copies / box 3.8% $2.58 Expected tier contribution
  10. Tier 10 Leader A Lawless Time · 19.92 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.07Avg / pulled copy 19.92Copies / box 2.0% $1.36 Expected tier contribution
  11. Tier 11 Hyperspace Uncommon A Lawless Time · 7.92 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.14Avg / pulled copy 7.92Copies / box 1.6% $1.08 Expected tier contribution
  12. Tier 12 Hyperspace Foil Uncommon A Lawless Time · 6.00 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.17Avg / pulled copy 6.00Copies / box 1.5% $1.03 Expected tier contribution
  13. Tier 13 Hyperspace Foil Common A Lawless Time · 15.46 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.03Avg / pulled copy 15.46Copies / box 0.7% $0.46 Expected tier contribution
  14. Tier 14 Hyperspace Common A Lawless Time · 4.00 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.07Avg / pulled copy 4.00Copies / box 0.4% $0.26 Expected tier contribution
  15. Tier 15 Hyperspace Leader A Lawless Time · 4.00 expected copies per booster display Non-chase tier $0.03Avg / pulled copy 4.00Copies / box 0.2% $0.12 Expected tier contribution

A Lawless Time · Top chase & value cards in this box

  1. Rank 01 Lando Calrissian — Full Sabacc A Lawless Time · #784 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $284.63 $1.32 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $284.63
  2. Rank 02 Darth Vader — Unstoppable A Lawless Time · #777 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $249.62 $1.16 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $249.62
  3. Rank 03 Director Krennic — Amidst My Achievement A Lawless Time · #774 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $230.67 $1.07 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $230.67
  4. Rank 04 Chewbacca — Hero of Kessel A Lawless Time · #779 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $196.96 $0.91 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $196.96
  5. Rank 05 Jyn Erso — Time to Fight A Lawless Time · #771 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $173.84 $0.80 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $173.84
  6. Rank 06 Tobias Beckett — People are Predictable A Lawless Time · #768 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $147.43 $0.68 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $147.43
  7. Rank 07 Aurra Sing — Assassin A Lawless Time · #770 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $140.21 $0.65 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $140.21
  8. Rank 08 Vel Sartha — Aldhani Insurgent A Lawless Time · #772 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $135.11 $0.63 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $135.11
  9. Rank 09 Sebulba — Especially Dangerous Dug A Lawless Time · #778 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $131.43 $0.61 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $131.43
  10. Rank 10 Hera Syndulla — Not Fighting Alone A Lawless Time · #775 Foil (showcase) Showcase Leader · ~1 in 216.0 boxes 1 : 216.0Box odds 0.0046Copies / box $120.89 $0.56 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $120.89
Advanced statistical breakdown for A Lawless Time (Bayesian pull-rate posteriors, tornado sensitivity & sources)

A Lawless Time · Bayesian chase pull-rate posteriors

  1. 01 Showcase Leader Pack slot: Leader · ~1 in 288.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.051%–0.899% per pack 0.0833 expected copies per booster display 0.05%–0.90%90% credible / pack 1 : 288.0Packs 0.35% 0.08 / box Posterior mean per booster display
  2. 02 Hs Legendary Pack slot: Uncommons · ~1 in 66.7 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.139%–1.069% per pack 0.3600 expected copies per booster display 0.14%–1.07%90% credible / pack 1 : 66.7Packs 0.50% 0.36 / box Posterior mean per booster display
  3. 03 Hsf Rare Pack slot: Foil · ~1 in 10.8 packs 90% Beta posterior: 6.707%–12.248% per pack 2.2320 expected copies per booster display 6.71%–12.25%90% credible / pack 1 : 10.8Packs 9.30% 2.23 / box Posterior mean per booster display
  4. 04 Hsf Legendary Pack slot: Foil · ~1 in 76.9 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.445%–2.505% per pack 0.3120 expected copies per booster display 0.44%–2.50%90% credible / pack 1 : 76.9Packs 1.30% 0.31 / box Posterior mean per booster display

A Lawless Time · Tornado sensitivity drivers

  1. 01 Pull rate: Showcase Leader Slot: Leader · 0.5× to 2× prior rate sensitivity Pull rate prior Low expected value: $61.38 · High expected value: $78.91 $61.38Low scenario $78.91High scenario ±$8.77 $17.53 swing Expected value range for this factor
  2. 02 Tier price band: Legendary Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $58.88 · High expected value: $75.61 $58.88Low scenario $75.61High scenario ±$8.37 $16.73 swing Expected value range for this factor
  3. 03 Tier price band: Rare Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $60.82 · High expected value: $73.90 $60.82Low scenario $73.90High scenario ±$6.54 $13.08 swing Expected value range for this factor
  4. 04 Tier price band: Showcase Leader Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $61.38 · High expected value: $73.08 $61.38Low scenario $73.08High scenario ±$5.85 $11.70 swing Expected value range for this factor
  5. 05 Pull rate: Hsf Legendary Slot: Foil · 0.5× to 2× prior rate sensitivity Pull rate prior Low expected value: $65.41 · High expected value: $70.86 $65.41Low scenario $70.86High scenario ±$2.73 $5.45 swing Expected value range for this factor
  6. 06 Pull rate: Hsf Rare Slot: Foil · 0.5× to 2× prior rate sensitivity Pull rate prior Low expected value: $65.51 · High expected value: $70.66 $65.51Low scenario $70.66High scenario ±$2.58 $5.15 swing Expected value range for this factor
Evidence disclosures & limitations for A Lawless Time
  • No completed-sale observations: prices are marketplace estimates and listings, so every price band is at its widest.
  • Uses FFG published approximate booster pack pull rates (~1 in 8 Legendary, ~1 in 288 Showcase leader, ~1 in 15 Hyperspace Rare/Legendary).
  • Every card in a pool is equally likely; draws are treated as independent.
Pack grammar & pull-rate sources

Buy A Lawless Time Booster Display on TCGplayer ↗ · Shop A Lawless Time packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ · Browse every card in A Lawless Time → · View A Lawless Time card values →

Ranked sets & booster boxes by expected value to box price (Seller net)

# Art Set Box price Median (P50) Value / Price Expected value
  1. Rank 01 Secrets of Power (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 867/887 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $110.50–$141.14 Chase expected value: $33.28 · Non-chase: $90.85 P(any chase): 45.4% · P(box ≥ cost): 53.7% $103.75 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $107.44 P25 $85.93 · P75 $147.08 Expected value to price ratio: 119.6% $124.13 P10 $72.10 · P90 $196.17
  2. Rank 02 Secrets of Power Star Wars: Unlimited - Secrets of Power Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 988/990 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $46.33–$58.97 Chase expected value: $6.26 · Non-chase: $45.27 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 62.2% $43.12 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $47.29 P25 $38.67 · P75 $58.23 Expected value to price ratio: 119.5% $51.53 P10 $32.13 · P90 $72.39
  3. Rank 03 A Lawless Time (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 616/637 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $179.42–$240.93 Chase expected value: $64.58 · Non-chase: $147.97 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 47.8% $184.44 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $179.21 P25 $136.52 · P75 $263.49 Expected value to price ratio: 115.2% $212.55 P10 $111.47 · P90 $365.09
  4. Rank 04 Homeworlds (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 577/672 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $249.46–$308.48 Chase expected value: $45.95 · Non-chase: $229.27 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 49.8% $243.76 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $243.51 P25 $206.89 · P75 $308.21 Expected value to price ratio: 112.9% $275.22 P10 $178.27 · P90 $439.23
  5. Rank 05 Ashes of the Empire (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 624/661 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $196.76–$265.79 Chase expected value: $69.84 · Non-chase: $161.50 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 40.1% $221.83 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $194.29 P25 $143.30 · P75 $282.58 Expected value to price ratio: 104.3% $231.34 P10 $111.41 · P90 $404.30
  6. Rank 06 Ashes of the Empire Star Wars: Unlimited - Ashes of the Empire Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $61.91–$97.34 Chase expected value: $24.08 · Non-chase: $52.87 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 34.8% $75.23 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $61.88 P25 $45.08 · P75 $86.52 Expected value to price ratio: 102.3% $76.95 P10 $35.61 · P90 $125.46
  7. Rank 07 Homeworlds Star Wars: Unlimited - Homeworlds Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 713/776 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $66.80–$100.23 Chase expected value: $23.30 · Non-chase: $55.53 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 31.2% $79.76 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $67.94 P25 $54.00 · P75 $85.21 Expected value to price ratio: 98.8% $78.83 P10 $44.37 · P90 $107.29
  8. Rank 08 Legends of the Force (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 870/896 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $118.49–$160.94 Chase expected value: $38.36 · Non-chase: $96.15 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 28.4% $144.22 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $111.43 P25 $89.98 · P75 $154.01 Expected value to price ratio: 93.3% $134.51 P10 $75.74 · P90 $208.37
  9. Rank 09 A Lawless Time Star Wars: Unlimited - A Lawless Time Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 760/760 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $54.85–$87.94 Chase expected value: $22.40 · Non-chase: $44.83 P(any chase): 95.5% · P(box ≥ cost): 23.2% $74.87 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $55.67 P25 $42.50 · P75 $73.22 Expected value to price ratio: 89.8% $67.23 P10 $33.34 · P90 $100.55
  10. Rank 10 Spark of Rebellion Star Wars: Unlimited - Spark of Rebellion Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 938/938 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $44.38–$63.49 Chase expected value: $11.94 · Non-chase: $40.96 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 15.1% $61.89 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $45.17 P25 $37.27 · P75 $54.49 Expected value to price ratio: 85.5% $52.89 P10 $31.23 · P90 $71.55
  11. Rank 11 Legends of the Force Star Wars: Unlimited - Legends of the Force Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 989/990 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $29.32–$42.38 Chase expected value: $7.14 · Non-chase: $27.84 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 16.8% $42.29 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $29.08 P25 $22.92 · P75 $37.27 Expected value to price ratio: 82.7% $34.97 P10 $19.26 · P90 $50.38
  12. Rank 12 Jump to Lightspeed Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 977/982 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $37.89–$51.93 Chase expected value: $6.51 · Non-chase: $37.09 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 14.5% $56.28 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $38.46 P25 $30.50 · P75 $48.34 Expected value to price ratio: 77.5% $43.60 P10 $25.06 · P90 $61.68
  13. Rank 13 Twilight of the Republic Star Wars: Unlimited - Twilight of the Republic Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 940/940 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $18.80–$38.26 Chase expected value: $8.47 · Non-chase: $16.18 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 8.2% $33.09 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $17.32 P25 $14.93 · P75 $20.81 Expected value to price ratio: 74.5% $24.65 P10 $13.27 · P90 $27.56
  14. Rank 14 Jump to Lightspeed (Carbonite Edition) Star Wars: Unlimited - Jump to Lightspeed Carbonite Edition Booster Display · 12 packs per Carbonite display · 835/860 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $121.23–$153.59 Chase expected value: $30.70 · Non-chase: $104.02 P(any chase): 45.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 15.0% $183.15 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $119.65 P25 $97.46 · P75 $153.44 Expected value to price ratio: 73.6% $134.72 P10 $82.72 · P90 $211.39
  15. Rank 15 Shadows of the Galaxy Star Wars: Unlimited - Shadows of the Galaxy Booster Display · 24 packs per booster display · 939/940 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $26.97–$44.92 Chase expected value: $8.83 · Non-chase: $24.94 P(any chase): 44.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 8.7% $48.91 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $26.81 P25 $22.22 · P75 $32.93 Expected value to price ratio: 69.0% $33.77 P10 $18.80 · P90 $43.92
How FoilFox calculates booster box expected value (EV)

Why mean expected value alone misleads—and how FoilFox models a box.

A single expected value number mixes everyday pulls with 1-in-2,500-pack lottery cards. FoilFox models each booster pack as an explicit slot grammar with mutually exclusive branches, updates pull-rate priors with empirical opening counts using a Beta-Binomial posterior, and runs Monte Carlo box trials alongside parameter-uncertainty scenarios.

Every box shows both its exact arithmetic mean expected value and its median box outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, chase vs. non-chase expected value split, and probability of clearing the reflective market price.

Collector vs. Seller valuation personas

Collector value prices every pulled card at its realizable FoilFox market quote or labeled estimate. Seller net subtracts 13.25% marketplace fees and $0.15 per-card shipping on cards at or above $1.00, and values sub-dollar bulk at $0.03 per card.

All figures are planning estimates, not a guarantee, appraisal, or offer. Unpriced catalog variants count as $0 rather than borrowing another printing’s price, and every price band widens when completed-sale observations are scarce.

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