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Disney Lorcana · Into the Inklands · 24 packs per booster box

Into the Inklands Booster Box expected value (EV)

Simulated expected value (EV), median booster box outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, and Bayesian chase pull odds for Disney Lorcana: Into the Inklands Booster Box (24 packs) vs. its $126.28 reflective market price.

Planning estimate · 24 packs · 434/434 printings priced · USD Browse Into the Inklands card values
Mickey Mouse - Trumpeter Robin Hood - Champion of Sherwood Ursula - Deceiver of All

Top chase: Robin Hood - Champion of Sherwood ($93.55) · Into the Inklands

Into the InklandsSeller net personaClear all
Expected box value (EV)
$28.31Into the Inklands · 90% credible mean: $19.94–$41.00
Expected value to box price
22.4%Reflective market: $126.28 (2026-09-29) · P(box ≥ cost): 2.7%
Median box (P50)
$13.36P10–P90 spread: $9.45–$74.43 (5,000 trials)
Chase share of expected value
$14.66 (51.8%)Non-chase floor: $13.65 · P(any chase): 23.6%
Disney Lorcana: Into the Inklands Booster Box · Simulated box outcome distribution vs. reflective market price
Chase-driven box (22.4% of box price)Typical (median) box returns $13.36; clearing the $126.28 reflective market price (2.7% of boxes) depends on hitting a top chase card.
Buy box on TCGplayer ($126.28) ↗ Shop packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ FoilFox set card values → Browse set checklist →
80% of simulated boxes land between $9.45 (unlucky P10) and $74.43 (lucky P90) 24 packs per booster box · 434/434 printings priced
P10–P90 spread: $9.45–$74.43 Typical / Median (P50): $13.36 Expected value (Mean): $28.31 Box price: $126.28

Top chase cards in Into the Inklands

Click any card for price history & versions · Seller net prices
  1. Mickey Mouse - Trumpeter Mickey Mouse - Trumpeter Holofoil · #220 $178.02 ~1 in 72.0 boxes · EV $2.47/box
  2. Robin Hood - Champion of Sherwood Robin Hood - Champion of Sherwood Holofoil · #221 $93.55 ~1 in 72.0 boxes · EV $1.30/box
  3. Ursula - Deceiver of All Ursula - Deceiver of All Holofoil · #212 $83.49 ~1 in 72.0 boxes · EV $1.16/box
  4. Scrooge McDuck - Richest Duck in the World Scrooge McDuck - Richest Duck in the World Holofoil · #218 $79.09 ~1 in 72.0 boxes · EV $1.10/box
  5. And Then Along Came Zeus And Then Along Came Zeus Holofoil · #222 $66.40 ~1 in 72.0 boxes · EV $0.92/box
  6. The Sorcerer's Hat The Sorcerer's Hat Holofoil · #210 $64.09 ~1 in 72.0 boxes · EV $0.89/box
  7. Maleficent - Mistress of All Evil Maleficent - Mistress of All Evil Holofoil · #209 $57.33 ~1 in 72.0 boxes · EV $0.80/box
  8. Jafar - Striking Illusionist Jafar - Striking Illusionist Holofoil · #208 $56.30 ~1 in 72.0 boxes · EV $0.78/box
  9. Kida - Protector of Atlantis Kida - Protector of Atlantis Holofoil · #206 $53.42 ~1 in 72.0 boxes · EV $0.74/box
  10. Captain Hook - Master Swordsman Captain Hook - Master Swordsman Holofoil · #214 $52.15 ~1 in 72.0 boxes · EV $0.72/box

Disney Lorcana: Into the Inklands Booster Box · Breakdown by rarity & finish tier

  1. Tier 01 Enchanted Into the Inklands · 0.25 expected copies per booster box Chase tier $58.64Avg / pulled copy 0.25Copies / box 51.8% $14.66 Expected tier contribution
  2. Tier 02 Common Into the Inklands · 144.00 expected copies per booster box Non-chase tier $0.03Avg / pulled copy 144.00Copies / box 15.3% $4.32 Expected tier contribution
  3. Tier 03 Cold Foil Legendary Into the Inklands · 0.75 expected copies per booster box Non-chase tier $4.00Avg / pulled copy 0.75Copies / box 10.6% $3.00 Expected tier contribution
  4. Tier 04 Uncommon Into the Inklands · 72.00 expected copies per booster box Non-chase tier $0.03Avg / pulled copy 72.00Copies / box 7.6% $2.16 Expected tier contribution
  5. Tier 05 Legendary Into the Inklands · 3.98 expected copies per booster box Non-chase tier $0.45Avg / pulled copy 3.98Copies / box 6.3% $1.79 Expected tier contribution
  6. Tier 06 Rare Into the Inklands · 32.64 expected copies per booster box Non-chase tier $0.03Avg / pulled copy 32.64Copies / box 3.5% $0.98 Expected tier contribution
  7. Tier 07 Cold Foil Common Into the Inklands · 12.61 expected copies per booster box Non-chase tier $0.03Avg / pulled copy 12.61Copies / box 1.3% $0.38 Expected tier contribution
  8. Tier 08 Super Rare Into the Inklands · 11.39 expected copies per booster box Non-chase tier $0.03Avg / pulled copy 11.39Copies / box 1.2% $0.34 Expected tier contribution
  9. Tier 09 Cold Foil Rare Into the Inklands · 3.34 expected copies per booster box Non-chase tier $0.10Avg / pulled copy 3.34Copies / box 1.1% $0.32 Expected tier contribution
  10. Tier 10 Cold Foil Uncommon Into the Inklands · 5.83 expected copies per booster box Non-chase tier $0.04Avg / pulled copy 5.83Copies / box 0.9% $0.26 Expected tier contribution
  11. Tier 11 Cold Foil Super Rare Into the Inklands · 1.23 expected copies per booster box Non-chase tier $0.08Avg / pulled copy 1.23Copies / box 0.4% $0.10 Expected tier contribution

Into the Inklands · Top chase & value cards in this box

  1. Rank 01 Mickey Mouse - Trumpeter Into the Inklands · #220 Holofoil Enchanted · ~1 in 72.0 boxes 1 : 72.0Box odds 0.0139Copies / box $178.02 $2.47 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $178.02
  2. Rank 02 Robin Hood - Champion of Sherwood Into the Inklands · #221 Holofoil Enchanted · ~1 in 72.0 boxes 1 : 72.0Box odds 0.0139Copies / box $93.55 $1.30 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $93.55
  3. Rank 03 Ursula - Deceiver of All Into the Inklands · #212 Holofoil Enchanted · ~1 in 72.0 boxes 1 : 72.0Box odds 0.0139Copies / box $83.49 $1.16 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $83.49
  4. Rank 04 Scrooge McDuck - Richest Duck in the World Into the Inklands · #218 Holofoil Enchanted · ~1 in 72.0 boxes 1 : 72.0Box odds 0.0139Copies / box $79.09 $1.10 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $79.09
  5. Rank 05 And Then Along Came Zeus Into the Inklands · #222 Holofoil Enchanted · ~1 in 72.0 boxes 1 : 72.0Box odds 0.0139Copies / box $66.40 $0.92 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $66.40
  6. Rank 06 The Sorcerer's Hat Into the Inklands · #210 Holofoil Enchanted · ~1 in 72.0 boxes 1 : 72.0Box odds 0.0139Copies / box $64.09 $0.89 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $64.09
  7. Rank 07 Maleficent - Mistress of All Evil Into the Inklands · #209 Holofoil Enchanted · ~1 in 72.0 boxes 1 : 72.0Box odds 0.0139Copies / box $57.33 $0.80 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $57.33
  8. Rank 08 Jafar - Striking Illusionist Into the Inklands · #208 Holofoil Enchanted · ~1 in 72.0 boxes 1 : 72.0Box odds 0.0139Copies / box $56.30 $0.78 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $56.30
  9. Rank 09 Kida - Protector of Atlantis Into the Inklands · #206 Holofoil Enchanted · ~1 in 72.0 boxes 1 : 72.0Box odds 0.0139Copies / box $53.42 $0.74 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $53.42
  10. Rank 10 Captain Hook - Master Swordsman Into the Inklands · #214 Holofoil Enchanted · ~1 in 72.0 boxes 1 : 72.0Box odds 0.0139Copies / box $52.15 $0.72 Expected value contribution per box Seller net single-card value: $52.15
Advanced statistical breakdown for Into the Inklands (Bayesian pull-rate posteriors, tornado sensitivity & sources)

Into the Inklands · Bayesian chase pull-rate posteriors

  1. 01 Enchanted Pack slot: Foil · ~1 in 96.0 packs 90% Beta posterior: 0.406%–1.921% per pack 0.2500 expected copies per booster box 0.41%–1.92%90% credible / pack 1 : 96.0Packs 1.04% 0.25 / box Posterior mean per booster box

Into the Inklands · Tornado sensitivity drivers

  1. 01 Pull rate: Enchanted Slot: Foil · 0.5× to 2× prior rate sensitivity Pull rate prior Low expected value: $21.01 · High expected value: $42.93 $21.01Low scenario $42.93High scenario ±$10.96 $21.92 swing Expected value range for this factor
  2. 02 Tier price band: Enchanted Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $20.97 · High expected value: $35.66 $20.97Low scenario $35.66High scenario ±$7.35 $14.69 swing Expected value range for this factor
  3. 03 Tier price band: Legendary Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $27.15 · High expected value: $31.43 $27.15Low scenario $31.43High scenario ±$2.14 $4.28 swing Expected value range for this factor
  4. 04 Tier price band: Cold Foil Legendary Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $26.70 · High expected value: $29.87 $26.70Low scenario $29.87High scenario ±$1.59 $3.17 swing Expected value range for this factor
  5. 05 Tier price band: Rare Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $28.31 · High expected value: $28.88 $28.31Low scenario $28.88High scenario ±$0.29 $0.57 swing Expected value range for this factor
  6. 06 Tier price band: Cold Foil Rare Lower to upper realizable price band across all cards in tier Price band Low expected value: $28.16 · High expected value: $28.70 $28.16Low scenario $28.70High scenario ±$0.27 $0.54 swing Expected value range for this factor
Evidence disclosures & limitations for Into the Inklands
  • No completed-sale observations: prices are marketplace estimates and listings, so every price band is at its widest.
  • Ravensburger publishes no official rarity odds; slot weights use cross-set empirical Lorcana opening benchmarks with conservative proxy priors.
  • Every card in a rarity and finish pool is equally likely; draws are treated as independent.
Pack grammar & pull-rate sources

Buy Into the Inklands Booster Box on TCGplayer ↗ · Shop Into the Inklands packs & singles on TCGplayer ↗ · Browse every card in Into the Inklands → · View Into the Inklands card values →

Ranked sets & booster boxes by expected value to box price (Seller net)

# Art Set Box price Median (P50) Value / Price Expected value
  1. Rank 01 Whispers in the Well Disney Lorcana: Whispers in the Well Booster Box · 24 packs per booster box · 446/446 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $101.58–$186.13 Chase expected value: $67.46 · Non-chase: $68.95 P(any chase): 84.1% · P(box ≥ cost): 10.2% $238.12 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $87.37 P25 $59.91 · P75 $134.54 Expected value to price ratio: 57.3% $136.41 P10 $42.63 · P90 $241.36
  2. Rank 02 Winterspell Disney Lorcana: Winterspell Booster Box · 24 packs per booster box · 446/446 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $108.40–$161.23 Chase expected value: $53.30 · Non-chase: $77.20 P(any chase): 82.8% · P(box ≥ cost): 8.1% $265.82 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $93.50 P25 $71.18 · P75 $127.11 Expected value to price ratio: 49.1% $130.51 P10 $55.62 · P90 $223.88
  3. Rank 03 Attack of the Vine! Disney Lorcana: Attack of the Vine! Booster Box · 24 packs per booster box · 452/452 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $50.77–$133.27 Chase expected value: $67.70 · Non-chase: $21.39 P(any chase): 84.1% · P(box ≥ cost): 8.2% $188.70 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $26.88 P25 $20.75 · P75 $43.32 Expected value to price ratio: 47.2% $89.10 P10 $17.00 · P90 $174.96
  4. Rank 04 Wilds Unknown Disney Lorcana: Wilds Unknown Booster Box · 24 packs per booster box · 446/446 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $49.32–$173.45 Chase expected value: $62.36 · Non-chase: $29.62 P(any chase): 84.1% · P(box ≥ cost): 4.6% $237.32 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $36.40 P25 $28.61 · P75 $56.18 Expected value to price ratio: 38.8% $91.98 P10 $22.55 · P90 $119.37
  5. Rank 05 Reign of Jafar Disney Lorcana: Reign of Jafar Booster Box · 24 packs per booster box · 428/428 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $33.36–$86.95 Chase expected value: $36.82 · Non-chase: $19.76 P(any chase): 23.6% · P(box ≥ cost): 10.5% $151.58 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $20.51 P25 $15.92 · P75 $38.95 Expected value to price ratio: 37.3% $56.58 P10 $13.24 · P90 $165.40
  6. Rank 06 Archazia's Island Disney Lorcana: Archazia's Island Booster Box · 24 packs per booster box · 428/428 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $29.78–$66.03 Chase expected value: $27.20 · Non-chase: $19.20 P(any chase): 23.6% · P(box ≥ cost): 8.8% $132.79 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $19.96 P25 $14.94 · P75 $42.65 Expected value to price ratio: 34.9% $46.40 P10 $12.42 · P90 $116.22
  7. Rank 07 Fabled Disney Lorcana: Fabled Booster Box · 24 packs per booster box · 448/448 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $162.94–$353.73 Chase expected value: $162.38 · Non-chase: $87.42 P(any chase): 84.1% · P(box ≥ cost): 4.0% $823.83 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $123.29 P25 $86.59 · P75 $211.74 Expected value to price ratio: 30.3% $249.80 P10 $62.86 · P90 $506.94
  8. Rank 08 Ursula's Return Disney Lorcana: Ursula's Return Booster Box · 24 packs per booster box · 429/429 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $25.86–$47.20 Chase expected value: $15.13 · Non-chase: $20.03 P(any chase): 23.6% · P(box ≥ cost): 4.1% $125.46 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $21.34 P25 $15.76 · P75 $38.83 Expected value to price ratio: 28.0% $35.16 P10 $12.86 · P90 $87.16
  9. Rank 09 Azurite Sea Disney Lorcana: Azurite Sea Booster Box · 24 packs per booster box · 426/426 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $23.61–$40.27 Chase expected value: $14.02 · Non-chase: $17.17 P(any chase): 23.6% · P(box ≥ cost): 2.8% $118.13 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $18.55 P25 $13.78 · P75 $31.12 Expected value to price ratio: 26.4% $31.20 P10 $11.36 · P90 $72.47
  10. Rank 10 The First Chapter Disney Lorcana: The First Chapter Booster Box · 24 packs per booster box · 420/420 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $94.50–$180.48 Chase expected value: $56.08 · Non-chase: $72.90 P(any chase): 23.6% · P(box ≥ cost): 2.5% $490.22 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $80.81 P25 $51.79 · P75 $154.73 Expected value to price ratio: 26.3% $128.99 P10 $36.09 · P90 $267.39
  11. Rank 11 Rise of the Floodborn Disney Lorcana: Rise of the Floodborn Booster Box · 24 packs per booster box · 420/420 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $32.70–$60.11 Chase expected value: $18.48 · Non-chase: $25.77 P(any chase): 23.6% · P(box ≥ cost): 3.0% $171.63 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $27.97 P25 $20.43 · P75 $48.78 Expected value to price ratio: 25.8% $44.25 P10 $16.00 · P90 $84.88
  12. Rank 12 Shimmering Skies Disney Lorcana: Shimmering Skies Booster Box · 24 packs per booster box · 426/426 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $23.38–$46.03 Chase expected value: $18.31 · Non-chase: $14.24 P(any chase): 23.6% · P(box ≥ cost): 3.8% $141.11 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $15.21 P25 $12.02 · P75 $24.42 Expected value to price ratio: 23.1% $32.56 P10 $10.29 · P90 $80.01
  13. Rank 13 Into the Inklands Disney Lorcana: Into the Inklands Booster Box · 24 packs per booster box · 434/434 variants priced 90% credible expected value: $19.94–$41.00 Chase expected value: $14.66 · Non-chase: $13.65 P(any chase): 23.6% · P(box ≥ cost): 2.7% $126.28 TCGplayer · 2026-09-29 $13.36 P25 $11.02 · P75 $32.37 Expected value to price ratio: 22.4% $28.31 P10 $9.45 · P90 $74.43
How FoilFox calculates booster box expected value (EV)

Why mean expected value alone misleads—and how FoilFox models a box.

A single expected value number mixes everyday pulls with 1-in-2,500-pack lottery cards. FoilFox models each booster pack as an explicit slot grammar with mutually exclusive branches, updates pull-rate priors with empirical opening counts using a Beta-Binomial posterior, and runs Monte Carlo box trials alongside parameter-uncertainty scenarios.

Every box shows both its exact arithmetic mean expected value and its median box outcome (P50), 10th–90th percentile spread, chase vs. non-chase expected value split, and probability of clearing the reflective market price.

Collector vs. Seller valuation personas

Collector value prices every pulled card at its realizable FoilFox market quote or labeled estimate. Seller net subtracts 13.25% marketplace fees and $0.15 per-card shipping on cards at or above $1.00, and values sub-dollar bulk at $0.03 per card.

All figures are planning estimates, not a guarantee, appraisal, or offer. Unpriced catalog variants count as $0 rather than borrowing another printing’s price, and every price band widens when completed-sale observations are scarce.

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